Some polling information. Snapshots in time. Large samples

The following information was sent to nhinsider anonymously. We have not at this time verified the numbers or the polling source. We will continue to look for verification.

Insider Advantage released their latest statewide surveys in Iowa, New Hampshire, Michigan, South Carolina and Florida tonight. The polls were fielded from October 2-3.

Iowa

The Iowa survey sampled 1,339 likely Republican caucus-goers and has a MoE of +/- 2.7%.

Gov. Romney leads with 24% while 16% support Giuliani. Thompson and Huckabee are in a dead heat with 13% each and 10% support McCain. 11% support another candidate while 13% are undecided.

 

Oct.

Gov. Romney

24%

Giuliani

16%

Thompson

13%

Huckabee

13%

McCain

10%

Other

11%

Undecided

13%

*This is Insider Advantage’s first Iowa poll of the cycle so no trendline data is available.

New Hampshire

The New Hampshire survey sampled 1,082 likely Republican primary voters with a MoE of +/- 3%.

Gov. Romney leads with 28%, while Giuliani and McCain are statistically tied with 20% and 17% respectively. Thompson and Huckabee are in a dead heat with 8% each while 9% support another candidate and 10% are undecided.

 

Oct.

Gov. Romney

28%

Giuliani

20%

McCain

17%

Thompson

8%

Huckabee

8%

Other

9%

Undecided

10%

*This is Insider Advantage’s first New Hampshire poll this cycle, so no trendline data is available.

Michigan

The Michigan poll sampled 1,190 likely Republican primary voters and has a MoE of +/- 2.9%.

The poll finds a statistical 4 way tie for the lead with Giuliani at 19%, Gov. Romney at 16%, McCain at 15% and Thompson at 14%. 15% support another candidate and 21% are undecided.

 

Oct.

Giuliani

19%

Gov. Romney

16%

McCain

15%

Thompson

14%

Other

15%

Undecided

21%

*This is Insider Advantage’s first Michigan poll of the cycle, so no trendline data is available.

South Carolina

The South Carolina survey sampled 1,281 likely Republican primary voters with a MoE of +/- 2.8%.

16% support Gov. Romney, which is an increase of 8 points from 8% in May.

Thompson leads with 21%, an increase of 8 points from 13% in May, while 16% support Giuliani, practically unchanged from 18% over the same time period. 16% support McCain, statistically unchanged from 17% in May, while 18% support another candidate and 13% are undecided.

 

May

Oct.

May/Oct. Change

Thompson

13%

21%

+8

Giuliani

16%

18%

+2

McCain

17%

16%

-1

Gov. Romney

8%

16%

+8

Other

31%

18%

-13

Undecided

13%

13%

0

Florida

The Florida survey sampled 725 likely Republican primary voters and has a MoE of +/- 3.7%.

16% support Gov. Romney, which is an increase of 4 points from 12% on September 17th.

Giuliani continues to lead with 29%, which is an increase of 5 points from 24% on September 17th. 19% support Thompson, a decrease of 4 points from September 17th, while 10% support McCain, which is statistically unchanged from 11% over the same time period. 11% support another candidate and 15% are undecided.

 

Sept. 6th

Sept. 17th

Oct.

Sept. 17th/Oct. Change

Giuliani

21%

24%

29%

+5

Thompson

27%

23%

19%

-4

Gov. Romney

8%

12%

16%

+4

McCain

9%

11%

10%

-1

Other

10%

11%

11%

0

Undecided

25%

19%

15%

-4