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Public Policy Polling Media Alert: Romney holds wide early lead for 2012 NH primary

Mitt Romney continues to look like the overwhelming early favorite for the 2012 Republican primary in New Hampshire, leading with 41% to 12% for Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin, 10% for Mike Huckabee, 8% for Ron Paul, 5% for Tim Pawlenty, and 2% for Mitch Daniels.

The best news in the poll for Romney is that at least in New Hampshire he has a strong advantage with every different faction of the party. With voters who identify themselves as Tea Party members he leads Palin 36-18. He also has a 29-18 advantage over her with people who think the GOP's too liberal. At the same time he's up 47-15 on Gingrich with people who think the party's just fine ideologically and he leads Ron Paul 47-10 with moderates. It says a lot about where the Republican Party is headed that centrist voters think Paul is their second best option.

There's been a lot of talk in the aftermath of the Delaware primary this week about whether that's bad news for a Romney Presidential bid but at least for now, before millions are spent to attack him, he's looking pretty solid.

The New Hampshire primary is still almost a year and a half away but Romney's persistent dominant lead in the polling makes you wonder- if that holds is New Hampshire even going to be viewed as that relevant to the 2012 nomination contest? If his status as the rare New England Republican Presidential candidate makes it impossible for anyone else to build momentum there the state may just get written off with everyone reallocating their resources to Iowa, South Carolina, Nevada, and Florida.

But if there's anything we've learned this cycle it's that big leads in Republican primaries can evaporate quickly so Romney certainly shouldn't start counting his chickens yet.


This analysis is also available on our blog:



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Reader Comments (3)

Alisha McDevitt of NH Station WMUR In Misdemeanor Violation of NH State Law

Monday October 4, 2010

By: Jane Dunn

Manchester, NH---Alisha McDevitt the News Director of NH news station WMUR is in violation of NH State Law RSA 651.V.XII, which is a misdemeanor.

The NH law RSA 651.V.XII makes it illegal to report information on on an individual who has had charges brought against them but where the charges were either dropped or a non-guilty verdict was reached and where the arrest and charges were later annulled and expunged.

RSA 651.V.XII, reads as follows: A person is guilty of a misdemeanor if, during the life of another who has had a record of arrest or conviction annulled pursuant to this section, he discloses or communicates the existence of such record.

Alisha McDevitt ran a story in 2009 and again in 2010 that contained false and derogatory information about a NH man who was falsely charged with several crimes by the Londonderry NH Police Department in 2009, that were later dropped and a non-guilty for resisting arrest was reached unanimously by a jury of his peers.

The charges were brought against the man by a Nashua, NH woman who was refused a rental apartment because she had several criminal convictions against her, was a drug addict and worked as a stripper. The woman filed assault and criminal threatening charges against the man and the Londonderry NH Police Department both failed to investigate the evidence in that case that would have exonerated the man and in many respects attempted to railroad the man.

Chief William Hart and four of his officers and one detective are currently being investigated by the NH Attorney General's Office Criminal Investigation Bureau regarding numerous anomalies surrounding this case. The officers and one detective include:(Officer Glenn L. Aprille, Officer Jason M. Archambault, Officer Kelly W. Kulig, Officer James J. Freda and Detective Donald A. LaDuke). Chief Hart could not be reached regarding a comment.

"Alisha McDevitt has destroyed this man's life by reporting information about the unidentified man that he was falsely accused of back in 2009, the man was cleared of all charges and received an annulment by a NH Superior Court," said Casey Clark, a close family friend of the man. "Alisha McDevitt should be held accountable for her actions in destroying this man's life. His wife left him because of this story, he lost his house, could not find a job and attempted suicide, it's disgusting what this woman and her so called news organization have done, I hope she is convicted of the misdemeanor," said Clark.

Clark also stated that she believed that Alish McDevitt did not run articles about bad cops being charged with crimes.

"There was a case where Londonderry Police Officer Jason Archambault was arrested in Manchester and charged with assault against his girlfriend. This is a charge that the public has a right to know about, yet even though it was reported directly to Alisha McDevitt, she never ran the piece. It is obvious that she will not run stories, the truth about the police, because she is in bed with the police, it is clear," said Clark.
October 5, 2010 | Unregistered CommenterJane Dunn
What does this WMUR story have to do with a poll conducted for 2012 presidential candidates?
October 5, 2010 | Unregistered CommenterNHLady
Hey Jane,what the?

Well,anyways,Mitt running for President on the Republican ticket is a joke.The man is partly responsible for the mess that is Obamacare.He would be better off running as one of those "fiscal conservatives" we hear about on the Democrat side right around election time.

Obamacare was modeled after Mitt Romneys healthcare legislation.Take a peek at our neighbor to the south.Is this what we want our country to look like in another generation?I don't think so.

NH Republicans need to get a clue.We need to elect real conservative politicians.Preferably someone who has'nt made politics thier life.
October 6, 2010 | Unregistered CommenterTim Oliver

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