It is a hotly contested race with the "Establishment" candidate Julianna Bergeron facing off against the "Tea Party" favorite Jack Kimball.
Another way to view is Juliana has had years of experience working within the NH GOP in various positions from Town Chair to County Chair, with all the work related to the various elections over the years. Sometime she has been more successful than other times much of it dictated by the overall political climate of the nation. She is also from an extremely Liberal/Progressive area. Keene is home to both Keene State College and Antioch University, with Franklin Pierce University just to the South East.
Jack Kimball is a relative newcomer to the political scene. Having been previously engaged with building a successful small to medium business. Over the past two years he has gone from an unknown and if you saw him two years ago a very unpolished speaker. Today after running for the Republican nomination for Governor with all it's campaigning he is now a quite polished speaker. Jack's main source of support and energy comes from a new breed of conservative that was awakened by the Tea Party movement.
NHInsider's poll is unscientific and is more a reflection of our readership than the general population. It remains to be seen whether the various County delegations have moved to the Tea Party side or remain more Main Stream Republican.