For Immediate Release

Contact: Jean Weinberg



(July 12, 2006)—Today, Congressional Candidate Jim Craig announced the results of a new poll showing that New Hampshire’s first district is ripe for change. The poll shows the environment is good for Jim Craig and Democrats, bad for Jeb Bradley and Republicans, and Jim Craig can win in November. []

“George Bush and Jeb Bradley have failed our families every step of the way with a government run by the big and powerful special interests and their selfish policies that have caused skyrocketing health care costs, gasoline prices that are over $3.00 a gallon and involvement in a costly and devastating war in Iraq,” Jim said.

He continued, “New Hampshire families know that George Bush and Jeb Bradley are moving our country in the wrong direction. As the Democratic Leader I worked with Governor Lynch to put New Hampshire families first and get the job done. I pledge to New Hampshire families that I will work for them in Washington and move our country in the right direction.”

Jim Craig, candidate for Congress in New Hampshire’s First District, is a lifelong resident of New Hampshire and his roots in the Granite State stretch for five generations. As a veteran of the US Army, he worked for his law degree with the help from the GI Bill and joined his family's law practice. For over 20 years, he has promoted the health and well-being of families by serving on non-profit community boards. He was elected to the New Hampshire State House in 1998 and now serves as Democratic Leader. While in Concord, he worked tirelessly to create bipartisan, practical solutions for the state. As leader, he created a labor caucus that addresses working families' concerns.

To: Interested Parties
From: Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research

An Electorate Looking for Change

The political environment in New Hampshire’s first congressional district is ripe for change, and Jim

Craig’s candidacy provides a prime pickup opportunity for the Democrats in this swing district.

• Only 24 percent of likely voters believe the country is headed in the right direction, while 63 percent believe we are seriously off on the wrong track.

• Just 32 percent believe the President is doing a good job and only 34 percent view him favorably, with 52 percent viewing him unfavorably.

• The Republican Party also faces image problems, with a 30 percent favorable – 44 percent unfavorable rating.

• In a generic Congressional race, voters choose a Democratic candidate over a Republican candidate, 41 – 38 percent.

• Democratic Governor John Lynch, whom Jim Craig has worked closely with to move New Hampshire on the right track, is extraordinarily popular in this district (67 percent favorable – 10 percent unfavorable; leading Republican Jim Coburn 71 – 17 percent in the gubernatorial contest)

A Fluid Electorate

• Jeb Bradley begins the race at just 47 percent, while the largely unknown Jim Craig starts at 33 percent (roughly the same percent that recognize him).

• The race moves quickly in Craig’s favor with voters embracing his message. In fact, after voters hear roughly the same amount of information (all positive) on each candidate, the race is even with Craig at 40 percent and Bradley at 41 percent.

• At the end of the survey, after positive and critical information about both candidates were read to respondents, Craig pulls out to an 11 point lead. While this number isn’t necessarily a prediction of what will happen, it underscores the great potential for Jim Craig to defeat incumbent Jeb Bradley in November.

Bottom Line

The results of this poll are clear. The environment is good for Jim Craig and Democrats, bad for Jeb Bradley and Republicans, and Jim Craig can win in November.

This survey of 490 likely voters in the November election was conducted June 14 – June 20 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research. The sample is subject to a margin of error of approximately 4.4 percentage points.