Sununu Trails Potential Challenger by Double Digits

Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee released the following story and poll data

Poll Alert: Sununu Trails Potential Challenger by Double Digits

A new poll from the American Research Group shows that more than 18 months before Election Day, New Hampshire Republican Senator John Sununu already trails one potential challenger, former Governor Jeanne Shaheen, by double digits. Shaheen leads Sununu 44% to 34% among registered voters in the survey, which was conducted from March 25 to 28. The poll also showed George Bush’s approval rating in the state has crashed to 17%,with 66% of voters disapproving of the way he is handling his job.

Facing a poor political environment and being forced to defend a voting record that is out of touch with his state, John Sununu continues to be one of the most vulnerable incumbents facing election in 2008. Click here to view the full ARG poll results: http://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/senate08/

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American Research Group New Hampshire Poll

March 29. 2007

Shaheen/Sununu 2008 Senate Ballot

The following results are based on 551 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of registered voters in New Hampshire. Of the 551 interviews, 169 were among registered Republicans, 152 among registered Democrats, and 230 among undeclared (independent) voters. The interviews were conducted March 25 through 28, 2007.

The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 551 is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and responses:

If the 2008 election for US Senate were being held today between Jeanne Shaheen, the Democrat, and John Sununu, the Republican, for whom would you vote - Shaheen or Sununu? (names rotated)

2008 US Senate

Shaheen

Sununu

Undecided

 

All voters

44%

34%

22%

 

Republicans

17%

67%

16%

Democrats

92%

1%

7%

Undeclared

32%

32%

36%

 

Oct 2002

43%

51%

6%

In October 2002: 10% of Republicans said they would vote for Shaheen and 85% said they would vote for Sununu. 86% of Democrats said they would vote for Shaheen and 8% said they would vote for Sununu. 45% of undeclared voters said they would vote for Shaheen and 46% said they would vote for Sununu.