NRSC - NEW POLL: Ayotte 50%, Hodes 35%


Ayotte continues to hold strong lead in latest WMUR/UNH poll

Union Leader

By John DiStaso

October 14, 2010

THURSDAY AFTERNOON UPDATE: AYOTTE LEAD CONTINUES. Republican Kelly Ayotte continues to hold a 15 percentage point lead over Democrat Paul Hodes in the latest WMUR New Hampshire Election Poll on the U.S. Senate race conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.

A new poll released this evening shows Ayotte with 50 percent, Hodes with 35 percent, and 1 percent for Libertarian Ken Blevens, 1 percent for independent Chris Booth, 1 percent for some other candidate and 12 percent undecided.

The poll of 709 randomly selected likely voters conducted Oct. 7 to 10 has identical results for Ayotte and Hodes as a WMUR/UNH poll conducted in late September and released two week ago. A Rasmussen Reports poll released on Monday showed the race closer, with Ayotte leading Hodes, 51 to 44 percent.

The margin of error in today's poll is 3.7 percent.

The new poll shows that with the election drawing closer, more Granite Staters are solidifying their choices.

Fifty percent of those polled said they have "definitely decided" who they will vote for, while 6 percent are leaning to a candidate and 34 percent are still trying to make a final decision. Ayotte leads Hodes by 58 to 39 percent among those who said they have made a definite decision.

Ayotte is supported by 87 percent of self-identified Republicans, while 75 percent of self-identified Democrats support Hodes. Among undeclared (independent) likely voters, Ayotte leads 49 to 29 percent. Among independents two weeks ago, she led 41 to 30 percent. The poll shows more energy being generated on the Republican side. Among those who said they are "excited about the election outcome," Ayotte leads, 63 to 25 percent. Among those who said they are "extremely interested in the election," Ayotte leads, 59 to 33 percent. And among those who said they are "depressed about the election outcome," Hodes leads, 51 to 33 percent.

For detailed poll results, click here.