NRSC - WSJ: GOP Candidates Predicted To Win Senate Seats in N.H., Fla.


GOP Candidates Predicted To Win Senate Seats in N.H., Fla.

Wall Street Journal

By Danny Yadron

October 7, 2010

Republicans are poised to hold onto their high-profile Senate seats in open races in New Hampshire and Florida, according to new predictions from the Cook Political Report, one of Washington’s premiere readers of political tea leaves.

The race handicapper today moved both contests to the “lean Republican” column from the “toss-up” one, after weeks of polling have shown a sustained GOP lead. The Rothenberg Political Report moved both races to the “Republican-favored” category from the “lean Republican” category Friday.

In New Hampshire, Democratic attorney Paul Hodes “has had ample time to make inroads” against former state Attorney General Kelly Ayotte, the folks at Cook write. “If it hasn’t happened by now, there is little reason to believe that it will happen in the next four weeks.”

In the Sunshine State, repeated surveys have shown Republican Marco Rubio leading both GOP Gov. Charlie Crist, who is running as an independent, as well as Democratic U.S. Rep. Kendrick Meek.

In another battleground state, a new, admittedly, Republican poll has Washington state’s GOP Senate nominee Dino Rossi up 48% to 42% over Democratic Sen. Patty Murray. The survey of likely voters was conducted by Fabrizio, McLaughlin and Associates for the conservative American Action Forum, and the margin of error was 4.5 percentage points.

Public polls show the race much closer. A Sept. 28 Rasmussen Reports had Rossi up by just 48% to 47 % The margin of error was 4 percentage points. Other surveys late last month gave a small lead to Murray.