HotAir Daily Express 11/06/2012

“The sequestration will not happen,” except if it does
11/6/2012 10:01:08 AM  Erika Johnsen
Seeking to reassure the defense community (for instance, the many Northern Virginia defense bureaucrats and contractors who could decide the direction of the swingy commonwealth’s 13 electoral votes) before the election, President Obama flatly

Romney up 92K in OH early voting? Update: Gannett pulls link; Update: EV up 14% in 2008 McCain counties, down in Obama counties
11/6/2012 9:21:04 AM  Ed Morrissey
Update: The data is still up at the Gannett site, but they’ve pulled the link from the front page.  Justin Higgins says that OH won’t release EV data separately: @edmorrissey Ohio doesn’t report early results until the polls

Why I voted Yes on the marriage amendment in MN
11/6/2012 8:41:24 AM  Ed Morrissey
The ballot in my state has two somewhat controversial referendums, both of which probably have more drama than any of the candidate races — including, until just recently, the presidential election.  One measure should pass rather easily, as the

Obamateurism of the Day
11/6/2012 8:01:10 AM  Ed Morrissey
Hurricane Sandy has devastated the most populous city in the nation. FEMA has struggled to deliver supplies and relief. Another nor’easter will bear down on the same area starting tomorrow. Where will the President be when it hits? On a basketball

Quotes of the day
11/5/2012 11:04:43 PM  Allahpundit
Romney’s crowds are building—28,000 in Morrisville, Pa., last night; 30,000 in West Chester, Ohio, Friday It isn’t only a triumph of advance planning: People came, they got through security and waited for hours in the cold. His rallies look like rallies

I guess we need to talk about that “Walking Dead” episode last night
11/5/2012 10:24:27 PM  Allahpundit
People have been asking for a TWD thread and we need a palate cleanser before 49 percent of the population has a nervous breakdown tomorrow, so here you go. Major spoilers below. Turn back now if you don’t want to know what happened. Two things.

Hot Air Survey: Your Election Predictions Results
11/5/2012 9:29:40 PM  Patrick Ishmael
Over 7000 votes later, who do Hot Air readers think will win the Presidency in 2012? Drum roll please… Okay, so that wasn’t so surprising. But I found this reader-chosen hierarchy of likely Romney states a little surprising: Florida leads

Video: Don’t forget to vote for abortion rights tomorrow, mommy
11/5/2012 8:49:10 PM  Allahpundit
Via Life News, a bit of election eve good cheer from the Twitter feed of Planned Parenthood’s PAC. Just this morning I was thinking, “You know what America’s abortion debate needs? More spokes-toddlers.” Reminds me of when

Cutter: Remain calm, and don’t let tomorrow’s early tallies get you down
11/5/2012 8:08:26 PM  Erika Johnsen
For such an ostensibly confident, feelin’-good campaign, they certainly seem to be taking an awful lot of messaging precautions. In a conference call this afternoon, the Obama campaign offered some advice to supporters, lest tomorrow’s news

Seven states: Electoral math made easy
11/5/2012 7:28:02 PM  Allahpundit
What follows will be old hat to most readers, who’ve been wargaming paths to 270 for six months now, but I’m thinking it might be useful to casual readers who are stopping by tonight and tomorrow because their interest in the election is

United Auto Workers chief rips Obama on manufacturing job losses
11/5/2012 6:41:48 PM  Erika Johnsen
In their bid to lock down Ohio and keep Michigan in the blue, the Obama campaign has touted few narratives quite as keenly as the “Obama saved the American auto industry with his bailouts and has since saved/created countless America manufacturing

The War on Bacon
11/5/2012 6:01:03 PM  Mary Katharine Ham
Kelly Maher of Revealing Politics and I are doing a little talk show for 30-45 minutes, here, at 6:15 p.m. every day. We named it The War on Bacon. We figure, since the government is after trans fats, big sodas, salt, and most other sinfully delicious

Internal polls: Romney up one in OH, two in IA, three in NH, tied in PA and WI
11/5/2012 5:27:14 PM  Allahpundit
The skeptical view of leaking these is that it smacks of what desperate campaigns do when they know they’re losing. Remember Tom Barrett? He wanted the world to believe, contra nearly all of the independent polling, that he and Scott Walker were

Romney Senate ad: Unless you’re a fan of the Reid-Pelosi agenda…
11/5/2012 4:41:08 PM  Erika Johnsen
I’m pointing this out because, driving in my car late last week, I heard a pro-Democratic radio ad dramatically intoning that Richard Mourdock is the only Senate candidate Mitt Romney has helped along like this, which must mean that Romney is one

Romney to visit Ohio — and Pennsylvania — tomorrow
11/5/2012 4:02:03 PM  Allahpundit
I like it, especially the Pennsylvania visit. Even if he thinks PA’s a longshot, one more appearance can’t hurt and delivering an E-Day pep talk to Republicans in a big blue state that’s suddenly in play is a sweet morale booster for

Who’s winning the early vote?
11/5/2012 3:21:13 PM  Mary Katharine Ham
In 2008, Barack Obama won the early vote and won it big—by 11 points in battleground states. Banking all those votes before Election Day made John McCain’s already tough road tougher. McCain voters even outperformed Obama voters at the polls on

Romney up 5 in FL, 1 in IA
11/5/2012 2:41:02 PM  Ed Morrissey
I’ll finish up my poll analysis today with a couple of last-minute polls in two key swing states.  First, corroborating the Mason-Dixon poll released this weekend for a Florida media consortium, Mitt Romney has a significant-if-not-comfortable lead

Rasmussen: Romney up in VA, MT, IN
11/5/2012 2:01:57 PM  Ed Morrissey
The final polls will come at us quickly today and possibly tomorrow as well, so we’ll tighten up our focus and try to cover as many as we can.  Rasmussen has three new polls out over the last 24 hours, but only one in a big-focus swing state,

The Ed Morrissey Show: Election Eve at Hugh Hewitt Studios!
11/5/2012 1:46:10 PM  Ed Morrissey
Today on The Ed Morrissey Show (3 pm ET), we will preview tomorrow’s Election Day with a final look at polls, trends, and storylines — live from Hugh Hewitt Studios in Southern California! Joining me will be Kevin McCullough, Guy Benson,

Video: A brief word to third-party voters this cycle
11/5/2012 1:21:10 PM  Ed Morrissey
Every four years, the media love to walk through third-party scenarios that might decide the presidential election — especially in 2000, when it actually did drive the results in one state, Florida, which turned out to be the epicenter of the

Rasmussen in Ohio: 49/49 tie
11/5/2012 12:41:20 PM  Ed Morrissey
The Buckeye State continues to be the focus of the media and both presidential campaigns — and two new polls out today show Ohio a dead heat.  Rasmussen’s latest poll shows a 49/49 tie, in a series that has shown the state a virtual tie since

McCain: “Veterans are upset” with Obama admin’s handling of Benghazi attack
11/5/2012 12:01:21 PM  Erika Johnsen
President Obama has always been careful not to neglect veterans in his bid for reelection, often including them among the groups — along with students, seniors, etcetera — to which he makes pointed appeals. While the Democrats have made much

Giuliani: Where the hell are the generators?
11/5/2012 11:21:00 AM  Ed Morrissey
The initial response to Hurricane Sandy appeared adequate, at the very least.  All levels of government seemed engaged, first responders had the resources needed, and confidence was high that we could quickly address the immediate human needs and then

Politico: Republicans likely to keep — or extend — House majority
11/5/2012 10:41:29 AM  Ed Morrissey
For those who want to read the last-minute tea leaves, here are a couple of significant-but-indirect indicators of how tomorrow may go.  First, Politico joins the Washington Post this week in predicting that not only will Democrats fail to win enough