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Entries in American Principles Project (46)

Friday
Apr192013

Forbes: Amid gold price decline, media brawl breaks out over … the gold standard

Dear Monetary Policy Observer,

Despite (and in some cases because of) the recent decline in the price of gold, the gold standard is drawing increasing attention from major media outlets.  This latest Forbes.com article by Ralph Benko covers the ongoing argument between several authors in the New York Times, Bloomberg, The Atlantic, and more.  We hope you find this material of interest.

 

Sincerely,
Nicholas Arnold
American Principles In Action

 

Paul Krugman v. David Stockman: The Great Debate Over Gold Continues

Amid an ongoing decline in the price of gold, a major brawl recently broke out in the elite media over … the gold standard. What is this free-for-all all about?  And why does it matter?  It matters because… the gold standard finally has demonstrated that, after a long eclipse, it is being taken seriously in elite (if not uniformly polite) company.

Paul Krugman, in a blog entitled Cranky Old Men, attacked a Sunday New York Times jeremiad  by former OMB Director David Stockman.  Stockman’s tirade, in fact, was more reminiscent of Allen Ginsberg’s Howl  — “who burned cigarette holes in their arms protesting the narcotic tobacco haze of Capitalism … Moloch! Solitude! Filth! Ugliness! Ashcans and unobtainable dollars!”  — than of an op-ed

And yet, Krugman’s response possessed all the persuasive power of a 14-year-old’s sarcasm: “It’s cranky old man stuff, the kind of thing you get from people who read Investors Business Daily, listen to Rush Limbaugh, and maybe, if they’re unusually teched up, get investment advice from Zero Hedge.  Sad.”

Matthew O’Brien of the Atlantic Monthly, playing Robin to Krugman’s Batman, botched a rescue operation.  O’Brien got his facts badly wrong and came across as a propagandist, or apologist, rather than a serious analyst.  O’Brien concluded, in The Atlantic Monthly, that “The gold standard didn’t save us from dystopia. The gold standard was dystopia.”  Wrong.  O’Brien was called out by the centrist Bloomberg and the center-right Forbes.com, his reputation bruised, for concocting a counterfactual counter-narrative.

Read the full article here: http://www.forbes.com/sites/ralphbenko/2013/04/15/paul-krugman-v-david-stockman-the-great-debate-over-gold-continues/

 

Wednesday
Mar062013

AmericanPrinciplesProject - Coolidge and the Path to the Majority 

Dear Monetary Policy Observer,

Can Republicans benefit from 1920s economic policy?  This latest Forbes.com article by Ralph Benko makes the case while critiquing a new book on the Presidency of Calvin Coolidge, who he argues was a successful force behind “the right’s first sweeping counterrevolution against liberal Republicans.”  He also points out a possible link between the stigma often attached to Coolige’s legacy and the economic time bomb set by a monetary conference in the early 1920s.  We hope you find this material of interest.

_______________________________________________________

Calvin Coolidge's Life Offers The Republicans A Path Back To The Majority

Ralph Benko

Amity Shlaes, one of America’s most interesting and influential public intellectuals, has just published Coolidge, a biography of that laconic president.  It is meticulously researched, and compellingly written, and of this writing residing on the New York Times nonfiction bestseller list at Number 6.

This book’s prominence appears due less to its exploration of an enigmatic historical personage than to its high relevance to the political wars that rage today.  Reviewing Coolidge for the New York Times Book Review, Jacob Heilbrunn, a senior editor at The National Interest, nails the key significance of this book (while taking issue with some of its conclusions):

“What makes Coolidge a fascinating character, however, aren’t his bromidic phrases and vapid homilies, designed to reassure a public unsettled by rapid social and economic change; or his loyalty to his vivacious wife, Grace; or his taciturnity or any of his other personal qualities. Rather, it is that he represented the right’s first sweeping counterrevolution against liberal Republicans in a battle that continues down to the present.  [Emphasis added.]

Disaster was barreling down upon the United States, and world, economy.  Offstage (and thus properly excluded as a topic of Shlaes’s book) world monetary policy had gone awry.   The pre-war gold standard had been replaced by its evil simulacrum, the “gold-exchange” standard, at a monetary conference as obscure as it proved epochal, held in Genoa, Italy, in 1922.   It was a ticking time bomb.

Few grasped (or yet grasp) the enormity of the time bomb that had been embedded into the world economy with this policy.  One of the few, Prof. Jacques Rueff, wrote of the gold-exchange standard, in The Monetary Sin of the West (The Macmillan Company, 1972, 1971, pp. 23-24):

“[T]he gold-exchange standard brought about an immense revolution and produced the secret of a deficit without tears. It allowed the countries in possession of a currency benefiting from international prestige to give without taking, to lend without borrowing, and to acquire without paying.

“The discovery of this secret profoundly modified the psychology of nations. It allowed countries lucky enough to have a boomerang currency to disregard the internal consequences that would have resulted from a balance-of-payments deficit under the gold standard.

“It was the outcome of an unbelievable collective mistake which, when people become aware of it, will be viewed by history as an object of astonishment and scandal.”

Coolidge barely escaped Genoa’s detonation and demolition of the world financial order.  Yet his escape was not quite complete.  His reputation was tarnished by a suspicion, or perhaps just convenient partisan claim, that the Depression somehow derived from Coolidge’s economic policies.  The Coolidge administration, sandwiched between Genoa and Black Monday, had nothing to do with  causing the Great Depression.  Its cause derived, directly, poorly understood (both then and now), from Genoa.

Read Full Article Here: http://www.forbes.com/sites/ralphbenko/2013/03/04/calvin-coolidges-life-offers-the-republicans-a-path-back-to-the-majority/

Wednesday
Dec192012

AmericanPrinciplesProject - Lehrman on Dobbs Recap 

Dear Monetary Policy Observer,

Below is a link to Lewis E Lehrman's appearance on "Lou Dobbs" yesterday evening.  The discussion covered the potential impact of the Fiscal Cliff as compared to the impact of the Fed's planned stimulus efforts.

http://www.foxbusiness.com/on-air/lou-dobbs-tonight/index.html#/v/2041664904001/higher-interest-rates-key-to-boosting-economy-job-growth/?playlist_id=164630

We hope you find this material of interest.

Thursday
Oct252012

AmericanPrinciplesProject - Frisbee, Baseball, and Central Banks 

Dear Monetary Policy Observer,

 

This latest Forbes article by Ralph Benko begins by covering a fairly simple question:  Would you ask a dog to catch a Frisbee by first applying Newton’s law of gravity, or just have him catch it?  The question, surprisingly enough, was expanded at the Bank of England recently to include central banks’ monetary theories.  The author acknowledges that Yogi Berra said it better, though:  “In theory there is no difference between theory and practice.   But in practice there is.” 

We hope you find this material of interest.

Sincerely,

Nicholas Arnold

American Principles In Action

www.americanprinciplesinaction.org

 

Catching A Frisbee Is Difficult: The Bank Of England Tells It Like It Is

Ralph Benko, Contributor

Are central bankers about to embrace the real world?  The events at most central banking conclaves are a total, excruciating, bore.  The recent gathering of the Federal Reserve’s tribes at Jackson Hole, however, produced an elegant, compelling, presentation by rising star central banker Andy Haldane.  Finally, a youth in the banquet hall declaring that the Emperor has no clothes.

Haldane’s speech, as analyzed by my colleague Charles Kadlec, comes down to this:  “The essence of Haldane’s point is the shift from simple, easily understood broad based rules under Basel I to more complex rules is very dubious. This approach made the assessment of risk more opaque.  These attempt to manage the risk of the banking system through the superior guidance of complex rules based on black box mathematical algorithms.  In addition, these formulae, by their nature, ignore uncertainty by assuming the future can be captured by the past.  This combination made the financial panic of 2008 more likely, and the ability of regulators to spot the risk less likely.  His major insight is that simple approaches are more effective at managing complex systems than complex approaches in a world of uncertainty.”

 

Haldane’s speech, The dog and the frisbee, just possibly could give the trajectory of the world’s international monetary and financial system a decisive nudge away from its bitter cling to elitist postulates — what public intellectual Axel Kaiser aptly calls  “witch doctors and … economic astrology”  — and toward motherwit reality. Here’s some of what Haldane said:

 

Catching a frisbee is difficult. Doing so successfully requires the catcher to weigh a complex array of physical and atmospheric factors, among them wind speed and frisbee rotation. Were a physicist to write down frisbee-catching as an optimal control problem, they would need to understand and apply Newton’s Law of Gravity. Yet despite this complexity, catching a frisbee is remarkably common. Casual empiricism reveals that it is not an activity only undertaken by those with a Doctorate in physics. It is a task that an average dog can master. Indeed some, such as border collies, are better at frisbee-catching than humans.  So what is the secret of the dog’s success? The answer, as in many other areas of complex decision-making, is simple. Or rather, it is to keep it simple.


… To ask today’s regulators to save us from tomorrow’s crisis using yesterday’s toolbox is to ask a border collie to catch a frisbee by first applying Newton’s Law of Gravity.


So begins and ends the speech by Andrew G Haldane, Executive Director, Financial Stability and member of the Financial Policy Committee, co-authored by Vasileios Madouros, Economist, Bank of England.  Haldane delivered this at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s 36th economic policy symposium on August 31.

It’s a lucid treasure, one deserving to be, and perhaps destined to become, a classic in the literature.  It primarily critiques the labyrinthine banking regulations of Basel III.  Its implications are broader.

Read Full Article Here: http://www.forbes.com/sites/ralphbenko/2012/10/22/catching-a-frisbee-is-difficult-the-bank-of-england-tells-it-like-it-is/

Thursday
Sep272012

Get Social with APP!

We're pleased to announce that Frank Cannon, President of the American Principles Project and all-around political guru, is now on Twitter!  You can follow him at:

@CannonFodder6


and get all of his insights on the latest news and politics, along with occasional flashes of New York sports bias.

And if you haven't checked in with APP on Facebook or Twitter yet, be sure to like and follow us here:

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Get social now with Frank Cannon and the American Principles Project!


Thank you,
Andy Blom
Executive Director


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