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Entries in Polls (232)

Tuesday
May192015

NHDP - ICYMI: Bloomberg/Saint Anselm Poll: Two Thirds of NH Voters Support Same-Sex Marriage 

The latest from Bloomberg: “Opposition to gay marriage could present a liability for presidential candidates stumping for votes in New Hampshire. Two-thirds of likely general-election voters in the state that holds the nation's first presidential primary, including about half of Republican primary voters, say same-sex marriage should be legal in every state, according to a new Bloomberg Politics/Saint Anselm New Hampshire Poll.”
 
Unfortunately for New Hampshire, the GOP 2016 presidential field strongly disagrees.

In case you're keeping track: 

Jeb Bush“I believe in traditional marriage, so that’s worked pretty well for our country and for Western civilization for thousands of years.”
And yesterday, Jeb Bush said that Christian business owners should be able to refuse to serve gay weddings.
 
Marco Rubio“You have to have a ridiculous and absurd reading of the U.S. constitution to reach the conclusion that people have a right to marry someone of the same sex.”
 
Ted Cruz“Today’s Democratic Party has become so radicalized for legalizing gay marriage in all 50 states that there is no longer any room for religious liberty.”
 
Rand Paul Calling same-sex unions marriages “offends myself and a lot of people.”
 
Scott Walker“Our state passed a constitutional amendment defining marriage as between a man and woman. I voted for it. I support it in the federal courts and continue to believe it’s a good idea.”
 
Chris Christie“I am not a fan of same-sex marriage.”
 
Bobby Jindal“I’m holding firm against gay marriage.”

 
Bloomberg: New Hampshire Poll: Voters Strongly Favor Expanding Gay-Marriage Rights

BLOOMBERG // DAVID KNOWLES

Opposition to gay marriage could present a liability for presidential candidates stumping for votes in New Hampshire. 

Two-thirds of likely general-election voters in the state that holds the nation's first presidential primary, including about half of Republican primary voters, say same-sex marriage should be legal in every state, according to a new Bloomberg Politics/Saint Anselm New Hampshire Poll.

Support was far greater among Democrats, with 85 percent of likely primary voters indicating that they favor expanding gay-marriage rights to every state, 8 percent opposing the idea, and 6 percent saying they were not sure. Among Republicans, 49 percent said they supported expansion. 

Wednesday
May062015

Poll: Iowa and New Hampshire Voters Support Arctic Drilling, Say Energy is Important Issue in 2016 Race

Primary State Voters Weigh In on Energy and the Presidential Election

 

Continuing the trend of energy policy as a key issue in nationwide elections, voters in Iowa and New Hampshire showed overwhelming support for U.S. energy leadership in Arctic offshore energy production.  The results show offshore energy policy is an important focus even for both Iowa and New Hampshire voters, just as Presidential candidates start canvassing the states.

 

A new poll by Consumer Energy Alliance (CEA) shows Iowa voters support Arctic offshore energy production by a 20 point margin (52% support - 32% oppose). New Hampshire voters also support Arctic offshore energy production by a 19 point margin (54% support - 35% oppose). As the administrative process moves forward on offshore exploration in the Arctic, candidates will need to stake out a position on the issue in the upcoming primary season.

 

Importantly for candidates, more than 80 percent of both Iowa and New Hampshire voters say energy issues will be a key factor in how they make decisions in the 2016 presidential election. In Iowa, 34 percent say energy issues will be “very important” to their decision (Total important 84% - not important 13%). In New Hampshire, 37 percent say energy issues will be “very important” to their decision (Total important 86% - not important 13%). Consumer Energy Alliance found similar sentiments in key states prior to the 2014 elections.

 

“Candidates for 2016 races will have to have a strong position on energy related issues in general and on Arctic exploration specifically,” said David Holt, President of Consumer Energy Alliance. “CEA’s research shows that support for a robust domestic energy policy that use all of America’s energy resources is key to a candidate's chances of victory.  CEA’s poll shows that it will be difficult for any Presidential candidate to travel to Iowa or New Hampshire without a strong position on U.S. Arctic energy production.”

 

“The United States is in the initial stages of an Energy Revolution,” added Holt.  “Voters are pretty clear.  We should keep our economy moving forward through a robust energy program that includes Arctic development. This result also provides additional support to the recently released National Petroleum Council study that concluded the U.S. should pursue Arctic development to help maintain our energy self-sufficiency.”

 

The results also showed that Hillary Clinton is favored among Democratic caucus participants in both Iowa and New Hampshire. While no Republican candidate for President is yet a favorite in Iowa, Jeb Bush and Scott Walker are the current leaders in New Hampshire.

 

 

Friday
May012015

AFP - Who should go #1? 

afp wide

Policy Draft Header-V1

 

This week has been filled with debate about the upcoming draft. Talk around water coolers and dinner tables everywhere has been dominated by the question, "who should go #1 overall?"

But questions bigger than football face our nation and our representatives in Congress. So we want to know: "which national issue deserves America's #1 overall pick?"

At Americans for Prosperity, we urge lawmakers to listen to the voices of grassroots activists just like you. There are many issues that affect economic freedom being debated right now, and we want to hear from you what you would like to see Congress focus on. 

Cast your vote below by clicking on which issue you think is the most important one facing America today. Which one should be Congress' top priority?

 
 
Friday
Apr172015

Public Policy Polling Media Alert: NH Senate, Governor's Race Both Look Like Toss Ups if Hassan Challenges Ayotte 

Public Policy Polling's newest New Hampshire survey finds that a high powered match up between Republican incumbent Kelly Ayotte and Democratic Governor Maggie Hassan for the Senate next year would start out as a toss up. Hassan gets 46% to 45% for Ayotte. Independents split evenly in such a contest- Hassan has the slightest of advantages because she wins over 12% of Republicans while Ayotte only gets 8% of Democrats.

There's a much greater spread between Hassan and Ayotte when it comes to approval ratings. Hassan is popular with a 53/34 spread, while voters are considerably more divided on Ayotte with her coming in at 40/43. A large part of the disparity comes from how popular the duo are within their own parties- 85% of Democrats think Hassan is doing a good job compared to only 64% of Republicans who approve of Ayotte. Hassan also has more support across party lines though with 26% of GOP voters approving of her to only 15% of Democrats who give Ayotte good marks. But since most voters ultimately choose their party in a head to head, that's much closer.

Hassan running may be vital to Democrats' ability to make the seat competitive. In a hypothetical contest with the state's Democratic member of Congress, Ann McLane Kuster, Ayotte leads by a 49/38 spread. There has been some discussion about a primary challenge to Ayotte by 2010 foe Ovide Lamontagne but she's not too vulnerable to that, leading him 57/32 in a hypothetical contest. Lamontagne actually does lead Ayotte 53/38 among Tea Party voters, but that's only 21% of the Republican electorate at this point and Ayotte easily dispenses him with everyone else. It's good news for Republicans that Lamontagne's not well positioned for a primary challenge because he trails Hassan 54/35 and Kuster 43/39 in prospective Senate contests.

If Hassan runs for reelection as Governor instead of for the Senate she'll start out in a very strong position. We find her leading the trio of Republicans we tested by anywhere from 17 to 30 points- it's 52/35 over Chris Sununu, 53/36 over Jeb Bradley, and 55/25 over Donnalee Lozeau.

If Hassan doesn't run things look pretty darn wide open. The Democratic alternatives we tested- Jackie Cilley and Colin Van Ostern- have very low name recognition at 27% and 20% respectively. The Republicans we tested aren't really terribly well known either- Sununu comes in at 61% name recognition, Bradley at 53%, and Lozeau at 20%. Match ups between these 5 feature lots of undecideds. Bradley leads both Cilley and Van Ostern 37/31. Sununu leads them by smaller margins- 37/34 over Van Ostern and 37/36 over Cilley. The Democrats- 32/26 for Cilley and 31/27 for Van Ostern- have small advantages over Lozeau. But at any rate the Governor's race looks pretty wide open if Hassan moves on.

 

This analysis is also available on our website:

 

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/04/hassan-ayotte-match-would-be-tightly-contested.html

 

I’m not attaching the full results because the file is so large, but you can see those here:

 

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NH_41615.pdf

Tuesday
Apr072015

NHDP - ICYMI: Kelly Ayotte Takes Heat for Playing Politics With Human Trafficking 

Polling Shows: “76% of self-identified moderates and 60% of self-identified conservative leaners said that a vote for this abortion restriction provision would make them less likely to support Kelly Ayotte in 2016”
 
Concord, N.H. - As Kelly Ayotte continues to side with GOP leadership against trafficking victims, local and national outlets highlighted a new TV ad criticizing Ayotte from leading women's health group NARAL Pro-Choice America.
 
NARAL also released a polling memo showing Ayotte’s position is “out of step with the values of voters across the ideological spectrum” and “would make them less likely to support Kelly Ayotte in 2016.”
 
See below for a coverage roundup:
 
NH1 News: Steinhauser: New TV ad attacks Ayotte over abortion
 
Coming to New Hampshire television: A new ad criticizing Republican Sen. Kelly Ayotte's position in a heated battle over a bill that would assist victims of sex trafficking.
 
NARAL Pro-Choice America says it’s going up with a 30 second spot on cable statewide in the Granite State that urges Ayotte to end what they describe as her “obstruction” of the measure because it allows victims access to abortion.
 
“Women and girls sold into labor and sex trafficking against their will. Their freedom stolen. They’re tortured and repeatedly raped. Eighty percent ending up pregnant, often multiple times. A Senate bill would help survivors of sex trafficking get their lives back on track, but Sen. Kelly Ayotte refuses to support it unless survivors are denied access to abortion care,” says the narrator in the commercial.

“Call Sen. Ayotte and tell her it’s wrong to use survivors as political pawns. Support a clean Justice for Victims of Trafficking Act,” adds the narrator as the spot concludes.
 
NARAL Pro-Choice America, a national non-profit organization that engages in political action to expand access to abortion and oppose abortion restrictions, says their commercial will run for a week on the three major cable news networks, CNN, Fox News Channel, and MSNBC. [Full article]
 
Huffington Post: NARAL Launches Ads Against GOP Senators Over Human Trafficking Bill
 
NARAL Pro-Choice America launched a TV ad campaign Friday against a handful of GOP senators up for reelection in 2016, lambasting them for their votes on a recent human trafficking bill.
 
The ads will target Sens. Kelly Ayotte (R-N.H.), Richard Burr (R-N.C.), Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) and Mark Kirk (R-Ill.). They will run on Fox, MSNBC and CNN in each state for a week.
 
“It’s disturbing to watch these senators put their own ideology ahead of the lives of women who have been through so much already,” said NARAL President Ilyse Hogue. “The bill’s clear intention is to help survivors of human trafficking regain control of their lives, yet the first thing these senators want to do is tell them they can’t even have control over their own bodies.” [Full article]
 
Politico: Abortion rights group goes on the air in swing states
 
NARAL Pro-Choice America will hit key swing states with a TV ad campaign today, accusing Republican senators of holding up the sex-trafficking bill in Congress by adding language to ban abortion coverage. The group bought airtime in Illinois (Kirk), Wisconsin (Johnson), New Hampshire (Ayotte) and North Carolina (Burr), playing statewide for one week on CNN, MSNBC and Fox. [Full article]
 
The Hill: Pro-abortion-rights group slams senators over trafficking bill
 
NARAL Pro-Choice America rolled out TV ads this week against four Republican senators up for reelection in 2016, targeting them for an anti-trafficking bill that stalled over a fight on abortion.
 
The group launched TV spots against GOP Sens. Mark Kirk (Ill.), Kelly Ayotte (N.H.), Ron Johnson (Wis.) and Richard Burr (N.C.).
 
... The anti-trafficking bill, which would increase resources for law enforcement and trafficking victims, was expected to be a bipartisan success in the Senate. Democrats, however, are objecting to the legislation because it includes the Hyde Amendment, which restricts the use of federal funds on abortions.
 
If the legislation passed with the abortion language intact, a victims fund that gets its money through criminal finds would be subjected to the abortion restrictions. Democrats argue that is an expansion of Hyde, which they say is normally limited to appropriations bills. [Full article]
 
Washington Examiner: Human trafficking bill becomes 2016 fodder
 
A pro-abortion rights group is using a recent standoff over a human trafficking bill to attack vulnerable Senate Republicans.
 
NARAL Pro-Choice America said Friday it's running a week-long series of ads on Fox, MSNBC and CNN attacking Reps. Mark Kirk of Illinois, Kelly Ayotte of New Hampshire, Richard Burr of North Carolina and Ron Johnson of Wisconsin. All four are up for re-election in 2016. [Full article]