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With only 74 days until the mid-term election, the latest WMUR/UNH survey confirms that Barack Obama's historically low approval rating, along with the NHGOP's success in highlighting serious missteps and scandals by New Hampshire's Democrat office holders, has created a toxic political environment for Democrats seeking election in November.   This, and the strength of our GOP candidates, provides a clear path for acrossthe board Republican victories on Election Day.


Some interesting points from the survey - in which eight hundred and twenty-seven randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by land line and cellular telephone between August 7 and August 17, 2014 with a margin of error of +/- 3.4% - are found below.  


FACT:  Barack Obama's Abysmal 38% Approval Rating Creates Toxic Political Environment


President Obama's approval rating has now hit an all-time low of 38% in New Hampshire, and he fares even worse (37%) among likely voters.


To put this in historical context - 39% of Granite State voters approved of President George W. Bush's performance at this point in 2006 while 51% approved of President Obama in July of 2010.  Both elections saw widespread losses for the respective parties of each President in New Hampshire during the mid-term elections.


We expect that Senator Jeanne Shaheen, Governor Maggie Hassan, and Congresswomen Carol Shea-Porter and Annie Kuster will take every evasive maneuver imaginable - tactics they've perfected in avoiding New Hampshire voters daily - to separate themselves from and avoid the President between now and Election Day. However, given their reliable support for his failed liberal policies over the past six years, these efforts will prove futile in the fall.


  • Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
    • August 2014
      • Approve: 38%
      • Disapprove: 55%
    • July 2010
      • Approve: 51%
      • Disapprove: 44%


FACT:  Jeanne Shaheen's Duck and Dodge Rose Garden Strategy is Not Working


In spite of Senator Shaheen's best efforts to avoid, ignore, and run from the constituents she was elected to represent, she finds herself in a dead heat with her nearest Republican opponent, leading by two points (within the margin of error) as compared to 12 in last month's poll. This comes on the heels of the NHGOP's successful efforts highlighting Senator Shaheen's failure to hold a town hall meeting for over 723 days and her support for Barack Obama's botched agenda 99% of the time.


John DiStaso of the New Hampshire Journal confirmed this when he wrote:


"The numbers suggest that ... the state GOP have [has] been effective in their recent attacks on Shaheen on immigration/border security and her failure to hold traditional town halls for more than 700 days. The numbers also show that Shaheen is being effectively linked by ... the GOP to President Barack Obama, whose approval rating in the state is at an all-time low."(DiStaso, John. "Latest poll shows Scott Brown has closed to a statistical tie with Jeanne Shaheen," NH Journal, 08/21/14)


The NHGOP will continue to expose Senator Shaheen's failure to listen to or engage her constituents while maintaining her lockstep loyalty to President Obama. Given Senator Shaheen's continued vocal support for a weak President and his disastrous agenda, this survey indicates that New Hampshire voters are ready for an alternative to the Obama/Shaheen status quo.


FACT:  Maggie Hassan's Favorables Hit All Time Low in Light of Scandal & Compare Poorly to John Lynch


In light of recent reports of Governor Hassan's illegal fundraising scandal, it comes as no surprise that her net favorable rating has dropped by nearly half and she currently finds herself in the danger zone for incumbent politicians. Only 44% of Granite State voters have a favorable impression of the Governor - an all-time low and a drop of 14% since just last month.  Politicians with favorable and approval ratings below 50% are at risk of losing re-election, with those registering below 45% in a very weak position going into the fall election season.


As a point of comparison, in July 2010 Governor John Lynch registered a 61% favorably rating (17% higher than Hassan's current numbers) and only secured 53% of the vote in his re-election campaign (at a time when President Obama's approval rating was 13% higher than today).


  • Favorable Ratings: Hassan v. Lynch
    • August 2014 - Hassan
      • Favorable: 44%
    • July 2010 - Lynch
      • Favorable 61%


Given that Hassan and her administration have done little to distinguish themselves, and continue to be embroiled in this ongoing scandal, these poll numbers will continue to decrease over the next 74 days.  The result?  Republicans will head into November well positioned to run a strong and competitive campaign to replace her.


It should also be noted that Republicans are favored by 5% on the generic ballot when voters are asked whom they intend to vote for in races for the State Senate and the State House of Representatives.  We are looking at securing substantial Republican majorities in both houses of the legislature.


FACT:  Liberal Congressional Democrats Shea-Porter and Kuster Likely Go Down With the Ship


If current polling trends continue, both Congresswoman Carol Shea Porter and Ann McLane Kuster will lose in November.


One of Congresswoman Shea-Porter's challengers has expanded his lead from last month's poll to 4%. Equally as troubling for Shea-Porter, her favorability rating has also dropped for the third consecutive WMUR Granite State Poll.


Congresswoman Kuster once again finds herself with an upside-down image rating, with more voters in the second congressional district having an unfavorable impression of her than favorable. Her sagging poll numbers have created a toss-up race against her closest Republican competitors. Against one challenger, Kuster's lead is within the poll's margin of error.


Both Shea-Porter and Kuster only register approximately 40% when matched up with their Republican opponents. Those lackluster numbers, when tied to a toxic political environment caused by Barack Obama's bottom of the barrel poll numbers and continued problems for the top of their ticket, will result in two new Republican members of Congress elected in November.


BOTTOM LINE:  The NHGOP will continue to work tirelessly to promote our Republican candidates, and hold Democrats accountable to the voters of New Hampshire.  This week's survey data tells us that our efforts to date are proving successful, with more work to be done.  We'll continue the fight in the weeks and months ahead.



MANCHESTER - Today, Scott Brown issued the following statement regarding discussions of President Obama’s “executive amnesty”:

“Unilateral presidential action that would extend amnesty to millions of people in this country illegally is not the way to fix our broken immigration system. President Obama would merely be creating another incentive for people to cross our borders in violation of the law. Instead, in the midst of an ongoing wave of people coming here illegally, we should be focused on securing the border and enforcing existing law. This is a major difference I have with my opponent, Senator Shaheen, who supports President Obama and his policies. Of course, we welcome legal immigration, but we must say no to illegal immigration that undermines the rule of law and our sovereignty as a nation."
Yesterday, the New York Times reported on Obama’s executive amnesty, noting that, “When President Obama announced in June that he planned to bypass congressional gridlock and overhaul the nation’s immigration system on his own, he did so in a most public way: a speech in the White House Rose Garden. Since then, the process of drafting what will likely be the only significant immigration changes of his presidency — and his most consequential use of executive power — has been conducted almost entirely behind closed doors, where lobbyists and interest groups invited to the White House are making their case out of public view.”

CEI Today: New Obama executive orders + regulations, Thomas the Tank Engine, and more 

Monday, August 18, 2014
In the News Today


Red Tapeworm 2014: The Government Accountability Office Reports More Regulations in Obama Era


The Congressional Review Act gives Congress a 60 legislative day window in which to review a major rule and, if desired, pass such a resolution of disapproval. Despite the issuance of thousands of rules since the act’s passage, including many dozens of major rules, only one has been rejected: the Labor Department’s rule on workplace repetitive-motion injuries in early 2001. > Read more

> Interview Wayne Crews


Executive Order Pressures Employers to Capitulate to Baseless Demands and Meritless Claims

A July 31 executive order from President Obama, E.O. 13,673, will make it very costly for employers to challenge dubious allegations of wrongdoing against them, if they are government contractors (which employ a quarter of the American workforce). It will allow trial lawyers to extort larger settlements from companies, and enable bureaucratic agencies to extract costly settlements over conduct that may have been perfectly legal.
> Read more

> Interview Hans Bader


Honeybee Population in Decline—Or Not?

If you read the news about honeybee survival, it’s all very confusing. Some sources sound the alarm by pointing out that the number of honeybee hives has dropped significantly in recent decades. Others say just the opposite: There are more hives today than ever before. Which is it? Actually, both. > Read more

> Interview Angela Logomasini



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ALG's Daily Grind - Barack Obama: His own political worst enemy 


August 13, 2014

Permission to republish original opeds and cartoons granted.

Obamacare drop outs could mean health insurer taxpayer funded bailouts
Investor's Business Daily: Only 70 percent of those who signed up for Obamacare through health insurer Aetna are actually paying premiums and remain in the system.

Barack Obama: His own political worst enemy
Obama: "Our politics are dysfunctional… societies don't work if political factions take maximalist positions." How right he is, and it shows precisely why his administration has been such a public policy failure.

Colorado Dems frack backtrack is all about November
Anti-fracking commissioner ousted in Mora County, N.M. provides teachable moment for Colorado Democrats.


ALG's Daily Grind - Is Obama lying about why we withdrew from Iraq?


Aug. 12, 2014

Permission to republish original opeds and cartoons granted.

Is Obama lying about why we withdrew from Iraq?
Host nations like Japan, South Korea, and Germany retain local jurisdiction over criminal matters of off-duty, off-base U.S. military personnel. So, why was this a sticking point for Obama when the administration failed to renew the Iraq status of forces agreement in 2011? 

Cartoon: Stable Iraq

More lost emails: When will Democrats have enough?
Multiple agencies experience hard drive crashes in response to congressional subpoena and Freedom of Information Act requests. Obamacare enrollment is shrinking, top insurers say
Aetna's Obamacare exchange enrollment is down 30 percent since May.

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