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Entries in US Senate (1025)

Thursday
Oct222015

PPP - NH Senate Race Still Neck and Neck; Clinton and Sanders Lead Most of GOP Field 

PPP's newest New Hampshire poll once again finds a one point race for the US Senate. Maggie Hassan has the slight advantage this month with 44% to 43% for Kelly Ayotte thanks to a slightly more unified party- 83% of Democrats support her to 81% of Republicans who support Ayotte. Despite the tightness we do find poll after poll that voters like Hassan (50/39 approval) better than they do Ayotte (40/42 approval). But a fair amount of the approval discrepancy owes to conservatives being suspicious of Ayotte- she has only a 45/44 approval with 'very conservative' voters- and that's a bit of a moot point since those folks will still vote for Ayotte before they'll vote for a Democrat whether they love her or not.

 

The consistently super tight polling in the New Hampshire Senate race is reminiscent of the early polling in 2 races in the 2012 cycle- the Virginia Senate contest between Tim Kaine and George Allen, and the Montana Senate contest between Jon Tester and Denny Rehberg. Those contests opened up a little more towards the end because it was a good year for Democrats, and it seems likely the national climate will end up determining who wins the New Hampshire race as well.

 

The Presidential numbers bode well for Hassan on that front. Hillary Clinton leads 8 out of 9 Republicans in hypothetical general election contests in the state. The exception is John Kasich- he achieves a tie with Clinton at 44%. Chris Christie comes close to Clinton as well, trailing 45/44. But beyond that Clinton leads the rest of the GOP throng by anywhere from 4 to 16 points. She's up 4 on Jeb Bush (45/41) and Carly Fiorina (46/42), 6 on Ben Carson (48/42), Marco Rubio (48/42 also), and Donald Trump (47/41), 13 on Ted Cruz (50/37), and 16 on Mike Huckabee (51/35).

 

We also tested Bernie Sanders against the trio of Carson, Rubio, and Trump and he actually fares slightly better than she does against that group of candidates. Where Clinton leads them by an average of 6 points, Sanders' average lead is 7 points. Sanders leads Trump 49/40, Carson 47/39, and Rubio 45/41.

 

Right now it looks like Democrats are ahead in New Hampshire by about 5 points, similar to Barack Obama's margin of victory in the state in 2012. The Senate race is tight but if those Presidential numbers hold it's hard to imagine a world where a popular Governor like Hassan runs 5 points or more behind the top of the ticket.

 

This analysis is also available on our website:

 

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/10/hassan-ayotte-still-neck-and-neck-dems-lead-presidential-matches-in-nh.html

 

I’m not attaching the full results because the file is so large, but you can see those here:

 

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NH_102115.pdf

Wednesday
Oct212015

NRSC - Hassan is Wishing for a DeLorean Right About Now … 

 

Good morning, and happy Back to the Future Day!

In the classic 80s film series, Doc Brown and Marty McFly time travel to today’s date before going back in time to undo misdeeds in the past.

It got us wondering... If Maggie Hassan took a ride in Doc’s DeLorean, which moments in history would she undo?

Maybe she'd try to go back and rewrite her fiscally irresponsible record of hiking up taxes and spending that's made life more expensive in New Hampshire. That would take a lot of trips...

On Back to the Future Day, Hassan’s probably wishing she could go back and rewrite history to change her fiscally irresponsible record that has failed to move New Hampshire forward. Too bad it's just a movie. 

Wednesday
Oct212015

NH GOP - GOVERNOR HASSAN'S SANCTUARY STATE OF MIND 

As A State Senator, Hassan Voted To Kill Commonsense Legislation That Would Have Blocked Sanctuary Cities In NH

 
Concord - This afternoon, Senate Democrats blocked legislation to crack down on sanctuary cities that shield known illegal immigrants with criminal histories. In 2008, then-state Senator Maggie Hassan voted to kill legislation that would have blocked any effort to promote sanctuary city policies in New Hampshire and protect illegal immigrants convicted of violent crimes.
 
As reported by CNN, "The subject gained national attention in July when 32-year-old Kate Steinle was murdered in San Francisco by an illegal immigrant. Juan Francisco Lopez-Sanchez had been deported five times and previously convicted of seven other felonies but was released by San Francisco authorities after drug charges were dropped. The release came despite a request form U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement for Lopez-Sanchez to be detained."
 
The bill has been endorsed by the Federal Law Enforcement Officers Association, the National Association of Police Organizations, and the National Sheriffs' Association, in addition to victims' rights organizations. 
 
"Governor Hassan has demonstrated that she is willing to put her political considerations ahead of public safety concerns by opposing legislation that would penalize sanctuary cities," said NHGOP Chairman Jennifer Horn. "When illegal immigrants commit violent crimes in our country, they need to be arrested and immediately deported. Local officials should not provide these convicted criminals with a safe haven by promoting sanctuary city policies that ignore federal laws. Governor Hassan's support for sanctuary cities shows how extreme and out-of-touch her views are with New Hampshire's commonsense values."
 
In 2008, then-state Senator Maggie Hassan voted to kill SB 353, a bill that "provides that the state of New Hampshire and its political subdivisions shall not serve as a sanctuary for illegal aliens and requires state and local law enforcement agencies to enforce immigration laws to the extent authorized by federal law." Full text of the bill can be found by clicking here
 
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Friday
Oct162015

NHGOP STATEMENT ON HASSAN'S PHONY CALL FOR HARRY REID APOLOGY 

Concord - New Hampshire Republican State Committee Chairman Jennifer Horn today released the following statement regarding Governor Hassan's phony call for Senator Reid to apologize for his comments disparaging New Hampshire's residents and first-in-the-nation presidential primary:
 
"It is hypocritical for Governor Hassan to call for disgraced former Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid to apologize for smearing our first-in-the-nation primary while continuing to welcome his strong support for her United States Senate campaign. Senator Reid personally recruited Governor Hassan to abandon her current job to run for higher office, and his Senate Majority PAC has already spent hundreds of thousands of dollars on dishonest ads on her behalf. The governor should immediately demand that Harry Reid remove his ads supporting her candidacy and tell his Washington political machine to stay out of our Senate race. The importance of New Hampshire's first-in-the-nation presidential primary goes beyond politics, and Governor Hassan's continued reliance on his political support to advance her career says more than her transparent and politically-motivated call for an apology."
 
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Tuesday
Oct132015

NRSC - Bipartisanship, More Than a Buzzword Governor 'Gridlock' Hassan

 

While it should come as no surprise that “Governor Gridlock” Maggie Hassan wanted some face-time at the No Labels Problem Solvers Convention this morning, it was unfortunate to see that she attended in the wrong capacity.

Rather than take the stage and bloviate about two subjects she knows little about—bipartisanship and the art of compromise—Governor Hassan should have taken a seat in the audience and learned a thing or two.

Governor Hassan didn’t waste any time distorting her record in order to plug the day’s buzzword, bipartisan, 15 times. (Despite delivering a less than ten-minute speech!)

To set the record straight, we took the liberty of bringing Governor Hassan’s rhetoric back to reality.  Here’s how Governor Gridlock’s “bipartisan leadership” has actually played out in New Hampshire:

HASSAN: “In New Hampshire, we do democracy better than anyplace else.”

  • REALITY: Foster’s Daily Democrat: “We Consider [Hassan’s] Veto A Serious Mistake In Terms Of Serving The Best Interests Of The Granite State.” (Editorial, “Gov. Hassan's Budget Veto Will Prove A Mistake,” Foster’s Daily Democrat, 7/2/15)

HASSAN: “Bipartisanship is setting aside preconceived notions and rigorously examining our own long held positions.”

  • REALITY: Hassan Called The Business Tax Cuts She Signed Into Law “Unfunded Tax Cuts For Big Corporations.” Hassan: "I will veto it if it comes to my desk as it is. I have been at the table with Republican leadership and have been clear throughout the process about how we can achieve a bipartisan budget that addresses our shared priorities, but Republican leadership refused to compromise on any of the major issues – most critically their unfunded tax cuts for big corporations.” (Governor Maggie Hassan, “Republican Budget Is Fiscally Irresponsible and Unbalanced, Will Veto If Comes to Desk As It Is,” Press Release, 6/18/15)

HASSAN: “Bipartisan problem solving means doing hard things.”

  • REALITY: The Telegraph Said “It’s Hassan Who So Far Is Firing Off The Harshest Rhetoric And Appears Most Motivated By Political Ambition.” “While both sides share responsibility, it’s Hassan who so far is firing off the harshest rhetoric and appears most motivated by political ambition. Hassan knows she’ll need the support of state employees to make a Senate bid, so the pay raise is crucial if – as many believe – she makes a run at Sen. Kelly Ayotte. It’s not the elephant in the room; it’s the whole safari.” (Editorial, “Stopgap Budget Is Not Governing,” The Telegraph, 6/28/15)
  • REALITY: The Union Leader Said Hassan Used “Imaginary Money” To Fund Her Budget Proposal. “It is a lot easier to write a budget, as Gov. Maggie Hassan did this year, when you get to use imaginary money you do not have and are unlikely to get… Hassan was able to propose spending more because she started with much higher revenue — imaginary revenue. She estimated that state revenue over the next two years would be $229 million more than the House estimated.” (Editorial, “A Realistic Start: The House Finance Committee budget,” Union Leader, 3/30/15)

HASSAN: “Bipartisanship isn’t signing onto a bill where you agree with almost everything in it or naming a bill with a title that gives lip service to a policy or idea without actually enacting the policy or furthering the idea in the bill itself.”

  • REALITY: Hassan Appointed A Commission On Innovation, Efficiency, And Transparency, But Refused To Release Internal Proposals She Requested To Make State Government More Efficient. “Gov. Maggie Hassan says she’s all about government efficiency and transparency. But when it comes to efficiency in government spending, she’s hardly transparent. Pulling together the state’s two-year, $10 billion budget – which affects virtually every person in New Hampshire – is shaping up to be the big challenge of her second term. Already Hassan has required state department heads to submit proposals detailing how their agencies can be more efficient and effective in the coming years because there’s hardly enough money to go around and people haven’t fully recovered from the recession. But Hassan doesn’t want you to see them. The Monitor filed three separate requests under the Right to Know law and the state Constitution asking Hassan to release the efficiency proposals that were due to her office by Dec. 1… Publicly, Hassan often cites innovation, efficiency and even transparency as priorities. And she’s appointed a commission to explore how state government can improve in those areas.” (Jonathan Van Fleet, “Despite Claims Of Transparency, Gov. Hassan Refuses To Release Proposals To Make State Government More Efficient,” Concord Monitor, 1/11/15)

HASSAN: “Bipartisanship is engaging in the hard process of give and take. It is recognizing that you aren’t going to get everything you want.”

  • REALITY: On June 25, 2015, Hassan Vetoed The New Hampshire Legislature’s Budget. (“Gov. Maggie Hassan Vetoes Budget Passed By NH House, Senate,” Associated Press, 6/25/15)

HASSAN: “There is a difference between superficial and substantive bipartisanship.”

  • REALITY: Hassan In 2012: “This About Whether The Tea Party In New Hampshire Is Going To Consolidate Its Power By Taking The Governor's Office Or Whether We're Going To Take The Governor's Office As Democrats And Move The State Forward.” “‘I wanted people to focus on the importance of the governor's race in this election cycle,’ Hassan said after the event. ‘This about whether the Tea Party in New Hampshire is going to consolidate its power by taking the governor's office or whether we're going to take the governor's office as Democrats and move the state forward.’” (Jim Haddadin, “Bill Shaheen Appears At Hassan Campaign Stops In Dover,” Foster’s Daily Democrat, 8/29/12)