Friday
Oct122012
ARG Has Romney Up 4; Ovide Up 6
Friday, October 12, 2012 at 07:32PM Friday, October 12, 2012 at 07:32PM
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American Research Group (ARG), the Manchester-based polling company, is out with numbers today which can only lift the spirits of New Hampshire Republicans who last week witnessed Andy Smith's UNH poll (WMUR/Granite State Poll) which showed Obama up 15 points in the state.
Fresh off Rasmussen showing a 48-48 tie here, ARG is out today with a poll showing Mitt Romney up 50-46 and Republican gubernatorial candidate Ovide LaMontagne up six points (46-40) over Democrat Maggie Hassan.
ARG also has Romney ahead in all its swing state polls--49-46 in Florida, 50-46 in Colorado, 50-46 in North Carolina, and even up one in Ohio (48-47). ARG has Obama's favorables at even, 48-48, less than the RCP average of +1.4.
I haven't seen any numbers for the two Congressional districts.
Nationwide, there's more good news for Republicans. Real Clear Politics has moved not only New Hampshire but Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan from the Romney column to toss-up decreasing Obama's electoral lead to 201-181 (and that doesn't even give Romney North Carolina where he has pulled way ahead).
Romney has also pulled ahead, albeit by a close margin, in Colorado and appears to be widening his Florida lead.
Overall, RCP Friday has it 47.3-46.3 for Romney. He's up two with Gallup (49-47), one with Rasmussen (48-47) and IBD has a 46-46 tie in daily tracking polls.
Even the left-leaning Huffington Pollster now has Obama below 270 (it's 257-206) with Ohio, Virginia, Florida, Nevada, and Colorado as toss-ups but New Hampshire still in the Obama column (albeit light blue). Romney has also edged ahead in the pollster average, 47.0-46.8.
As noted here previously, the longer Romney stays ahead in national polls, the more you can expect to see swing state numbers trending his way.
Unlike my Biden postings, consider this strictly numerical reportage. Just the facts, Maam, just the facts; no matter where they fall.


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