Inside WMUR's Latest Polls

Normally I would headline this as the UNH poll, but Andy Smith asks that it be referred to as the WMUR/Granite State Poll, and since the station is paying for the poll results, we should at least honor that request.

As regular visitors to this site know, I look to look at the geographical breakout of votes.  When it comes to predicting State Senate and State Rep races, this data can be extemely useful

According to the poll which showed Barack Obama up 15 points (52-37), he was leading in every region except the Massachusetts border (no surpise); and it was close in the Manchester area (no surprise since that region includes the highly Republican towns of Bedford, Goffstown, Londonderry, Hooksett, etc).  Similarly, although ahead of Ovide LaMontagne by only two points (42-40 or 38-36 depending on which group you focused on), she was ahead everywhere except the Mass border and Manchester (Ovide's back yard).

Here on the numbers:

For President--

North Country--Obama 61-37 (+24)

Central/Lakes Region--Obama 54-33 (+21)

Connecticut Valley--Obama 63-28 (+35!)

Seacoast--Obama 57-28 (+28)

Mass Border--Romney 45-42 (+3)

Manchester Area--Obama 45-44 (+1)

I also was amused by these numbers:

Those Reading The Union Leader--Romney 48-41 (+7)

Those Listening to NHPR--Obama 75-17 (+58!)

No wonder Democrats were so quick to spring to Big Bird's defense.

For Governor

North Country--Hassan 51-38 )+13)

Central/Lakes--Hassan 50-40 (+10)

Connecticut Valley--Hassan 47-31 (+16)

Mass Border--Ovide 45-32 (+13)

Seacoast--Hassan 44-34 (+10)

Manchester Area--Ovide 48-41 (+7)

Union Leader Readers--Ovide 52-35 (+17)

NHPR Listeners--Hassan 64-21 (+43!)

My guess is Republicans are doing better in the wake of the first debate, but thanks to Andy Smith and WMUR for this snapshot in time.