Friday, November 9, 2012 at 03:56PM
In reporting some numbers yesterday, I was wrong with Ovide LaMontagne's totals in Manchester. In fact, he did much worse than I had reported (apparently I added his Ward 1 numbers in twice). As I always say, we all make mistakes; it's getting them corrected that counts.
In Manchester, Ovide lost by 5781 votes, 25,778-19,997. That's 56.3-43.7 percent or a 12.6 percent margin or virtually the same as his statewide margin of 13.4 percent.
Speaking of getting numbers correct, Manchester City Clerk Matt Normand has revised downward turnout for the city. It was not as originally reported (apparently the charter commission ballots were counted in with overall totals in Ward 3, thus overstating the totals by almost 3000 votes).
The Manchester total was 48,919. (My final prediction was 48,000 after I had thought 50,000 prior to noting a slight downtick in absentee voting in the city).
Matt also tells me that 10,000 people actually registered at the polls and then voted election day; that's an astounding 20 percent, nearly double the usual ten percent of same day registrants. It'll be interesting to see if we get similar numbers statewide.
Secretary of State Bill Gardner tells me the statewide number should be close to 730,000; his prediction was 722,000; mine was 700,000 even.
Thus, it will be an all time record for New Hampshire even as the total votes cast nationwide appears to be down eight or ten million votes.
That's easily explained actually. Team Obama and Team Romney basically ignored 38 states, so we will see turnout there down while it'll most likely be up in states like New Hampshire and other battlegrounds, but let's wait a few more days before taking that assertion to the data bank!
I'll be crunching more numbers (too many more probably) next week. If you discover any errors, please let me know!