CACR 12 drafters have taken away justification for my favorite new greeting.
Is nothing sacred?
“You’re looking mighty wholesome today,” I had been greeting people for the past several weeks, risking the reaction that some would deem it sexual harassment when in fact it was merely a way of denigrating the “wholesome” in the education funding amendment which the House and Senate will be voting on next week.
“Wholesome” is gone, but the problems remain.
From reading the headlines in the papers today, one might think this is a done deal. Governor Lynch is on board; Republican leaders in both Houses are on board; well, let’s just say we’ve done the job and go home; send this sucker on to the voters.
But not so fast.
While getting 15 votes in the Senate (60 percent of 24) may be a mere formality, 237 votes are still needed in the House (60 percent of the current membership of 395).
Even with Lynch’s support, I haven’t noticed a groundswell of supports from Democrats, but don’t take my word for it; check comments on the blues web sit. Kathy Sullivan, whom I seem to be agreeing with more and more these days—say it ain’t so, Joe—says that this current legislature is a good reason to vote against the amendment.
Not a single Manchester Represenative, having witnessed this current legislature take $15 million of money promised for Manchester schools just last year, should vote for this amendment. However, as we learned with the redistricting betrayal, Manchester Republicans too often put the dictates of their tyrannical leadership ahead of what is best for their community, so we can probably expect the Manchester lemmings to guarantee their extinction by voting for this disaster. More Manchester teachers will be laid off, maybe not this year but in coming years, if this passes, and voters should hold anyone who votes for it to blame.
Will Mayor Ted Gatsas take a stand? Does it really matter?
Since Manchester Republicans stabbed him in the back on redistricting and followed their leader (Hail, Victory), we can only assume they will do so again. Ironically, the redistricting court cases are scheduled to be heard at about the same time as the CACR vote.
Little has really changed since I wrote a couple weeks that it will all come down to the number of Representatives who are absent. Remember that each absence is tantamount to a no vote, and since Republicans can afford to lose only 55 or so votes (assuming most Democrats vote no), they need get fannies in the seats when the vote is taken.
There’s no guarantee that will happen. Peter Principle Silva, the new Republican leader, spent much of the day trying to explain silly comments he made yesterday. Peter is no DJ, and about the only thing that can save him and O’Brien now is a sympathy backlash. Expect them to appeal to the memory of DJ, demagoging about the need to hang together now that DJ is gone…kind of like the Gipper…”Win one for the Deej!”
If that inane appeal succeeds and this sucker gets to 237 (despite opposition from Libertarian-minded Reps), then Republicans deserve the fate they’ll suffer in November.
DJ has resigned; he would have voted yes. Norman Tregenza has resigned; he would have voted no. Score one loss for each side.
Kevin Landrigan had the odds at 50-50 in last week’s Sunday Telegraph. Gary Rayno in the Union Leader seemed less sanguine about passage. I’ll stick with my odds of 40-60 against getting to 237, but it all depends on turnout. If more than 20 Republicans are absent when it comes time to vote, it’s in big trouble.
Of course, it doesn’t matter if Democrats are absent or not because remember…an absence is the same as a no vote.
Expect the Union Leader and Republican gray beards to weight in in full force. Must we hear from Chuck Douglas again? And Ovide—god forbid? Probably even Papa John? Maybe even Steve Merrill if he’s not too busy talking about rumored pregnancies?
Take your phone off the hooks, my fellow Reps; don’t answer your mail; shut off the computers. Wednesday can’t come and go soon enough, but like all bad things, this to