Rep Steve Vaillancourt



Friday
Oct122012

Better Beware, BiBi

Here's a warning to Israeli Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu.

With the Ides of October just a few days away, Beware, Bibi, Beware.

Why?

Because during his petulant debate rant last night, Vice President Joe Biden (aka the Delware Dolt) referred to the Prime Minister as his friend of 39 years.

Yes, this was the same Delaware Dolt who referred to Republican Vice Presidential candidate Paul Ryan no fewer than 14 times as his friend.

Obviously when the Delaware Dolt refers to someone as a friend, what he really means is he hates the guy from every corner of his malicious dark heart.  He's the kind of Joe who'll call you "friend" while at the same time reaching with a knife to stab you in the back...if not the front.

Beware Bibi, be very much aware of "friends" like Biden the Buffoon.

Thursday
Oct112012

Media Won't Let Biden Lose Tonight

 
Barack Obama's performance in last week's was so bad...
How bad was it?
It was so bad that even Democrats and his fellow travelers in the main stream media could conjure up enough chutzpah to claim he won...although there are reports that he thought he'd won when he left the stage...talk about the power of personal deception.
The Demagogue in Chief was so wounded by the debate that you can be sure that Democrats and the media will not let Biden come off as a loser in tonight's debate.
The Delaware Dork (ooh, that's harsh) would have to come across as a total blithering idiot for Obama supporters (as are most in the media) to claim that he did anything less than hold Paul Ryan to a draw.  While Biden is capable than most of blithering at will, he certainly won't be that bad tonight.
What drama!
No, not about what will happen in the 90 minutes the two men are seated across from each other.
The drama is about how the media will spin this as a Biden victory.
Maybe, just maybe, Biden will trot out his line, "Osama bid Laden is dead and GM is alive."
If I were Paul Ryan's handlers, I'd have him ready with a comeback about how thanks to the incompetence of the Veep and his boss, there are--sadly--four good Americans dead in Libya today.
The way to win a debate is often not to go on the attack, but to be ready with such great comebacks that the attacker is left bloodied...kind of like a lawyer in a courtroom holding back his best facts until the witness opens himself or herself up.
For example, those in the punditocracy universe to a man (and woman) over the weekend accused Obama of being guilty of political malpractice by not bringing up Mitt Romney's line about 47 percent of Americans.
I beg to differ with those wise men, including Charles the Wise on Fox.
Had Obama fired that pitch, my guess is that Romney was laying in wait and would have hit it farther than that Yankee pinch hitting for ARod last night.
Romney could have said something like, "You know, Mr. President, we all say things we regret and I've already admitted that I regret saying that.  I was wrong.  But what about you, Mr. President, I don't recall you ever acknowledging you were wrong for talking about good people in Ohio and Pennsylvania cling to their guns and religion...I don't recall you apologizing for your pastor, the Reverend Wright, shouting 'God damn America!'...Nor do I recall you stepping back from your comment 'They didn't build it' about hard working American entrepreneurs...No, Mr. President, I could go on and one with things you've said, things I trust you wish you hadn't said...If that's the game you want to play, Mr. President, I've got a list of about ten more items...and that doesn't even get into your Vice President's comments."
Hey, if I can think up such a response, you can be sure hundred thousand dollar handlers were onto it!
Political malpractice indeed!  As far as I'm concerned, it would have been malpractice for Obama to set Romney up with the chance for such a response...and it'll be even more dangerous if the Delaware Dolt tried it tonight.
Paul Ryan need only look at Biden and point out, more in spirit of sadness than in anger, the litany of gaffes from this buffoon who somehow managed to rise to a heartbeat away from the Presidency.
Not that the Lame Stream Media will pay it any heed.
They have one mission tonight--to make sure Biden is perceived as getting at least a tie!
Thursday
Oct112012

This Week's Trivia Question--Setting Murderers Free

 
As much as I'd like to say the answer to this question is Johnnie Cochran or Flea Bailey or Alan Dershowitz or the other less than honorable barristers who set a double murderer free, we have to go back a couple hundred years in American history for the answer.
First the question--
Which great figure in American history, while a lawyer, got a guilty man off free and ran into him years later on the street and upon being hailed as the man who saved his life, responded, "Ah!  Willis, poor fellow, I fear I have saved too many like you who ought to be hanged"?
Let's make it multiple choice.
A)   Future Congressman and President Abraham Lincoln
B)  Future Congressman, Senator and Secretary of State Daniel Webster
C)  Future Senator and Vice President John C. Calhoun
D)  Future U.S. House Speaker, Senator, and Secretary of State Henry Clay
or
E)  New Hampshire native (born in Cornish) future Ohio Governor, Senator, Secretary of Treasury, and Supreme Court Chief Justice (not to mention erstwhile abolitionist) Salmon P. Chase.
 
Alas I just finished reading a very difficult book (written by John Niven, 1995) on the life of Salmon P. Chase, a great man who ambition plagued his more noble efforts, but that's not the answer.
For the second week in a row, we look to Merrill D. Peterson and his bok "The Great Triumvirate" for the answer.  That book deals with Webster, Calhoun, and Clay, and for the second week in a row, the answer is Henry Clay.    Here's a further explanation from page 11, "By common report, not one of the accused murderers he defended, though their guilt was plain as day, was ever sentenced to the gallows.  In the case of Abner Willis, Clay, having won a new trial for the defendant on a technicality, turned around and pleaded double jeopardy to a jury that was like wax in his hands."
Johnny Cochran would be envious!  "If it doesn't fit, you must acquit" indeed!
Only page 11--looks like we've got months and months of more Henry Clay trivia.  Did you know he survived a dual?
Yes. 
Ain't history fun?
Salmon P. Chase:  A BiographyThis is not the answer nor is it an easy book to read.
The Great Triumvirate
Herein lies the answer and a much more readable book by far!
Salmon P. Chase:  A BiographyThis is not the answer nor is it an easy book to read.
The Great Triumvirate
Herein lies the answer and a much more readable book by far!
Wednesday
Oct102012

Rasmussen Has New Hampshire Dead Even

Only a week after the WMUR/Granite State Survey (UNH) showed President Barack Obama with a 15 point lead over Mitt Romney in New Hampshire, Rasmussen is out with a poll showing the state dead even at 48-48 with three percent for other candidates and only one percent undecided.

A new UNH survey is out which cuts Obama's lead down to six points and there were indications that not all of the debate bounce was built into that survey, so we should expect Obama's lead to be less than that in a future UNH poll.

We are left with the conclusion that the 15 point UNH poll was due to being taken in the direct aftermath of Romney's damaging "47 percent" remarks.

It's amazing how a phrase or a single idea can turn votez in such fast track conditions as these.

What about the three percent going for "others" in the Ramussen poll.  Well, there are only two "others" on the New Hampshire ballot, Libertarian Gary Johnson and Viril Goode from the Constitution Party.  My guess is that more Libertarain votes would go to Romney than Obama, so Johnson could indeed cost Romney the state if it's a razor thin margin (the way Ralph Nader cost Al Gore the state and the Presidency in 2000).

Pollster still has New Hampshire in the Obama column (as part of his 263-206 lead).  Pollster has only Ohio, Florida, Colorado, and Virginia as toss-ups, and Romney would need to win all three to stop Obama.  However, if he won New Hampshire, he could then afford to lose Colorado!

Real Clear Politics has New Hamsphire back to a toss-up along with ten other states:  the usual suspects plus Pennsylvania and Wisconsin (which were for Obama) and Missouri and North Carolina which will most certainly go for Romney.  Obama's edge has narrowed to 217-181 with RCP, no surprise since RCP now has Romney up a full point in the national average (48.2-47.2).  Pollster still has Obama up, albeit by only 0.1 (46.9-46.8).

Rasmussen has Romney up one nationally (48-47) while Gallup has it back to even (48-48).

Rasmussen has other state polls today showing Romney closing.  He's down only two in Wisconsin (51-49) and is even at 47-47 in Nevada.  Rasmussen has Obama still  leading by five (51-46) in Pennsylvania.

Also potentially bad news for the GOP--for only the second time all year, Rasmussen has Democrats ahead, albeit by only one point (44-43) in this week's important generic Congressional ballot poll.  Republicans had led by six points or so much of the year.

Now we await Rasmussen numbers on the Ovide/Maggie race.  I suspect Ovide will be up three or four.

Wednesday
Oct102012

Expect Long Lines To Vote, Especially In Manchester

            With three ballot questions along with all the federal and state races facing voters November 6, expect longer than usual lines at the polls, especially in Manchester where, on a separate ballot, voters will be asked to choose from among some 60 candidates for nine Charter Commission positions.

            That’s actually fewer than ran for the Manchester Charter Commission ten years ago, but serious voters will certainly take a need minutes, especially if they plan to opt for the maximum number of choices and especially if they haven't seen the names in advance.

            I suspect that most people will vote for less than nine (many in fact will use the tried and true bullet method and vote for only one--some will undoubtedly skip the ballot entirely), but we’re talking extra time no matter what.

            The Secretary of State’s office tells me that Manchester is the only city or town which has a decision to make other than those on the main ballot.

            Keep in mind, however, that same day registration is allowed in all New Hampshire communities, and we could easily get as many as ten percent of voters registering at the polls, thus creating not one but two lines!

            This will vary widely among polling locations.  For example, ten years ago, I was working as a deputy registrar in Manchester Ward 2.  We were simpled swamped by first day registrants because it’s was ward full of transient people.  It may be less so now that the part of the ward with the most transients has been lopped off and given to ward 4.

            Manchester Ward 12 is another ward in which the number of new registrants is very high.  As a rule of thumb, you can expect more newly registered voters in areas which are heavy with apartment buildings (people tend to move in and out more, thus must change their voting location).

            Let’s see here.  I have the Red Book (election book) for 2010.  These numbers are on the low side since it was a non-Presidential year.  For the entire state, 461,423 votes were cast (I expect we’ll exceed 750,000 this year).  Newly registered voters that day numbered 23,512, only about five percent.  It’s not unrealistic to expect we’ll get ten percent of newly registered voters (or about 75,000) this year.

            Add that throng to the time for picking Charter Commissioners in Manchester, and you might want to allow yourselves extra time when you go to vote. 

             The longest lines I can ever recall were in 1984 when thanks to the Constitutional Convention the previous year, numerous lengthy Constitutional Amendment questions were on the ballot.  Plus, of course, people turned out in droves to choose Reagan over Mondale...at least at the Jewett Street School, Ward 8 Manchester where I was voting.  As I recall, the wait was more than an hour!  And that was in the days prior to same day registration!