Rep Steve Vaillancourt



Thursday
Aug232012

O'Brien And Smith Display Ignorance of NH Law

If Channel Nine reporting is to be believed--and the station ran the story over and over again ad infinitum--for the second time in as many months, House Speaker Bill O'Brien has proven that he doesn't understand New Hampshire election law.

According to Channel 9, both O'Brien and gubernatorial candidate Kevin Smith are asking Frank Szabo, Hillsborough County Republican candidate for Sheriff, to get out of the race in the wake of his comment that he would use deadly force on abortion doctors.

Even as Szabo appears to be apologizing for the comment--he now says he would not use deadly force--he also says he'll stay in the race.

But the truth is, as reported here earlier this summer, in New Hampshire, there are only three reasons for getting off the ballot once the filing period is over.  You must either die (Leo Pepino, of Manchester) has in fact died and been removed from the ballot; move out of the voting district (as Dick Green did several years ago when he decided he wanted to work at the development authority rather than run for Senate); or incur a serious illness since the filing.

As far as anyone can tell, Szabo is still very much alive, living in Hillsborough County, and has not contracted a debilitating illness since the filing period.

Thus, O'Brien and Smith are simply deceiving the voters by calling for Szabo to get out of the race.

Szabo can stop campaigning, be he cannot get off the ballot.  One would think the current Speaker and a candidate for Governor would know that.

As far as I'm concerned, and I am a voter in the county, Szabo had virtually no chance of defeating incumbent James Hardy in the Republican primary, and now his slim chances have become none.

Thus, the call for him to leave the race is simply absurd.  Republicans, including O'Brien who lives in Mt. Vernon and Smith who lives in Litchfield, can simply display their displeasure by voting for Sheriff Hardy September 11.  (Hardy has been a fairly good sheriff; a bit too much of a big spender for my taste but after complaining about the need for more money, he manages to live within his budget—just barely!)

But no, in the afterglow of Missouri Republican Senate candidate Todd Akin's absurd abortion comments this week, O'Brien and Smith apparently decided that they have to distance themselves from Szabo and the abortion issue.

The fact that they chose to do so in a manner not consistent with New Hampshire law certainly does not make either candidate look very good.

Earlier this summer, O'Brien called for Democratic State Rep candidate (and bar room brawler) Patrick Garrity to get out of his Ward 7 race and resign his seat.  Of course Garrity could resign (he has not done so), but like Szabo he cannot get off the ballot unless he dies, leaves the ward, or becomes very ill.

It's a very simply law, Mr. Speaker; it's a very simple law, Mr. Smith!

Garrity is facing two other Democratic candidates for three seats in Ward 7, former state Rep Carol Williams and Clecio Terrio who shares the same address as the incumbent Republican Rep (talk about diversity within a family).  My guess is that Garrity and Williams win both the primary and the general election.  In other words, Garrity may well do what O'Brien may well not do, retain his seat.  Oh if only Mister Speaker had a bar room brawl (or two as in the case of Garrity) on his resume! 

O'Brien is in a three-way race for two seats in the House district which includes Mt. Vernon and New Boston.  One of the three candidates is O'Brien's former friend and chief of Staff Bob Meade; the other is a New Boston Selectman whom O'Brien has endorsed.  Go figure.  Wouldn't it be something if O'Brien loses to primary to Meade and the other candidate he's endorsed?

Ah, we certainly don't deserve that much schadenfreude!

Smith will most likely lose the Republican gubernatorial primary to Ovide LaMontagne who has apparently remained mum over the Szabo comment which may well be just as bad as the Akin comments in Missouri...at least Akin didn't threaten to kill anyone!

Is there something in the water regarding Republicans and abortion these days; or is it some strange Vulcan mind meld which Wasserman whatshername and Raybo have been able to master, thus implanting destructive thoughts in the minds of GOP wannabes?

Thursday
Aug232012

Republican Senate Candidate Calls Mosca "Judas"

NHINSIDER.COM EXCLUSIVE!

Just when you might have thought the political situation couldn't get any stranger, Republican State Reps this week received an email from Laconia Republican State Senate candidate Josh Youssef accusing Republican House legal counsel/lobbyist Ed Mosca of being a Judas or a Benedict Arnold. 

Youssef had a complaint which the House Grievance Committee, chaired by Paul Ingbretson, deemed valid.  Mosca apparently didn't like that decision, and Youssef has written to Speaker Bill O'Brien accusing Mosca of trying to divide the Republican Party into factions.

Keep in mind that Mosca isn't just some political hack; not just someone who happens to relish dabbling in politics.  He is O'Brien's paid staffer.  That means that his salary is paid by all New Hampshire citizens, we the taxpayers.

Here is the email (offered here without editorial comment and without editing) which Youssef sent to House members along with the letter he sent to O'Brien. 

This brouhaha could indicate that this Senate seat (district 7) could very well be ripe for a Democratic gain this year (but then Republicans can afford to lose a seat or two...or even six...they hold a 19-5 advantatge).  It's tough to tell since this is basically an entirely new senate district, combing parts of seats held by outgoing Senator Forsythe and Senator Sanborn who moved from Henniker to Bedford and is running there.  I have the district, without regard to invididuals, rated as lean Republican.

Youssef faces a primary challenge from William Grimm, of Franklin.  Andrew Hosmer, of Laconia, is the only Democrat on the primary ballot.

Apparently the media did not receive these missives, but of course, everything I post is available to all media.  I'll let them dig into this for the story behind the story.  I'm far too busy reading Gore Vidal's seven-volume American history series.

 

Friends,

  It is very important that you all be apprised of the conduct of house counsel Ed Mosca,  who is attempting to pollute my senate race with professional misconduct and a personal vendetta against me. 

  Considering Mosca is a "republican"  and i am the only true constitutional conservative in the race,  i am confused and concerned as to why he would be feeding info to the concord monitor - a pathetic liberal rag?  Is he trying to sabotage the whole party?

  If you agree that Mosca's behavior resembles Judas' or better yet,  Benedict Arnold,  please contact the speaker,  as he has direct influence over Mosca.

  This internal struggle would be better silenced internally,  as many races are at stake -  not just mine!

  Thank you for your ongoing support.

---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: "Josh Youssef" <fasterthinking@gmail.com>
Date: Aug 19, 2012 3:33 PM
Subject: Very important
To: <williamlobrien@gmail.com>, <obrienforspeaker@gmail.com>
Cc: "Youssef" <fasterthinking@gmail.com>

Mr.  Obrien,

  House counsel Ed Mosca is at it again.   He has now publicized sealed financial information concerning my post-divorce litigation on his blog(edmosca.com) ,  contrary to the professional rules of conduct and contrary to NHSC Douglas v. Douglas. 

I have brought to your attention his misconduct in the past and understandably you chose to remain neutral to the subject matter.   I believe that now is the time for preventative intervention.

I will reiterate that i believe there to be a serious ethical problem with a state-contracted lawyer to maintain a private practice and am prepared to argue this before a judge.  

This type of conflict of interest is a very unusual and uncommon situation,  but Ed is attempting to rip the republican party into distinct factions by his behavior,  and as you can appreciate,  i will very publicly defend myself with overwhelming house and senate support.   I would prefer that Ed's personal vindictiveness not take place at the public expense of many good republicans,  and that is precisely what collision course we are on unless people who are in authority over him act promptly,  swiftly,  and aggressively. 

I intend on winning this republican primary notwithstanding this incident,   but hope to do so with minimal collateral damage.

If you would like to discuss this by phone,  please call me at 603-520-1400.  I appreciate your prompt reply as i must rebut this vindictive rhetoric immediately.

Thank you,
Josh Youssef

Monday
Aug202012

Hillsborough County Could Determine Next President

With nearly all polls showing the Presidential election just about even not only in national averages, but in most swing states as well, commentators have begun to talke about swing "counties".  It's not merely single states which could determine the outcome of the election, but now we're getting down to the county level.

When I heard that Prince William County in Virginia could be crirtical, I decided to look into the voting pattern of Hillsborough County here in New Hampshire.  It contains about 30 percent of the state's population; Democratic Manchester and Nashua tend to be offset by highly Republican towns like Bedford, Goffstown, Merrimack, etc.

So I went to the red books which contain totals from previous elections.

It does indeed appear that Hillsborough County could make the difference in the state, and I've shown in the past how our paltry four electoral votes could be critical (as they were in 2000).  No wonder Obama, Romney, and Ryan have all been here the past three days.

In 2000, George Bush won New Hampshire by 7211 votes; he won Hillsborough County by 3024 votes.  Of course, Ralph Nader is the real reason Al Gore didn't become President.  He took 22,198 votes in New Hampshire; 5465 in Hillsborough County.

Fast forward to 2004.  With Nader not  a factor, John Kerry beat Bush by 9274 votes in New Hampshire, but Bush carried Hillsborough County by 5603 votes.

In 2008, Barack Obama won the state by 68,292 votes and won Hillsborough County by 7642 votes.

All polls indicate it'll be closer this year (Obama is up three points in the WMUR/UNH poll; six in a PPP poll).

For Romney to have a chance of winning New Hampshire, he most likely will have to come out of Hillsborough County with a margin of 5000-10,000 votes.

The bad news for Romney is that in the UNH breakdown, he trails by ten (55-45) in the Manchester area.  The good news is that he leads by eight (51-43) in the Mass. border area.  Much of Hillsborough County is in those two regions.

Hillsborough County is no Prince Edward, but it could determine the next President.

Monday
Aug202012

Cilley Zombie Ad Cuts Through Clutter--And Pussy Riot Footage

Truth in blogging--Were I a Democrat, I would vote for Jackie Cilley (over Maggie the Dog Torturer Hassan in the Democratic primarcy race for Governor.

No, I do NOT support an income tax, and I don't think Jackie really does either, but her courage in refusing to take the pledge is refreshing.  A good argument can be made that whether or not one supports an income tax, we should be able to talk about it.  That's why I opposed the Republican silliness of trying to write an income tax ban in the Constitution.  Oh by the way, the WMUR/UNH poll shows 41 percent opposed to that amendment, only 40 percent in favor, and it would need two-thirds to pass (67 percent).  Such silliness, such a crazy attempt to bastardize our Constitution, appears doomed to fail; and the strategy is certainly doomed to backfire on the silly GOPPERS (most of them) who pushed it!

All of that notwithstanding, Jackie Cilley certainly has delivered the best ad of the political season so far.  Her zombie ad is likely to go viral and probably even make the cable TV networks.

It's clever; yes, it's inspired, and best of all, it tends to cut through the clutter of air waves which are simply inundated with political pablum,   Ovide's get-to-know me ad is well produced; it's not bad, but it's pablum; one learns nothing by watching it.  Thus, it's easily passed over.

Maggie's ads are worse than pablum; they're pure painful pablum!

Kuster's get-to-know-me ad is a blatant attempt to disguise her extreme left wing tendencies.  She trails Charlie Bass by five points in the second CD which most people deem to be the more Democratic of the two.  (Carol Shea Porter leads Guinta by two in the "more Republican" first CD.  Hopefully a second loss by Kuster and we'll never see her on the political stage again.  They don't come much more liberal; no wonder she's disguising it with her ad buy.

I haven't seen a Kevin Smith ad, but I doubt it will come close to approaching Jackie Cilley's ad in sheer watchability.  It's only 30 seconds so it will stand up well amid the clutter.  I like it so much that not only did I run it on my TV show (The Liberty Express) which I taped today.

I RAN IT TWICE.

I also ran some footage of Pussy Riot, the Russian punk rock trio who have been thrown in jail for daring to criticize Putin and the church; apparently the clip has gone viral (just like the Cilley ad). The music is just awful (more like The Dead Kennedys than the B52s or Devo), but the hooded rockers should certainly not be jailed, but then, that's a matter for Russians to protest.

As promised, I also ran the footage of 18 year old Peter Fechter bleeding to death at the base of the Berlin Wall (Aug. 7, 1962, one year and four days after the wall went up).

The Liberty Express airs Monday night at 10 p.m. on Manchester TV23; also Thursday at 9 p.m. and Sunday at 6 a.m. and noon (always available at vimeo.com/channels/libertyx).

Friday
Aug172012

Ample Precedent For Dumping Biden The Buffoon

In a word, he's a buffoon.

In two words, he's a laughing stock.

He is, of course, Vice President Joe Biden, but then we've known all along that he's both a buffoon and a laughing stock.  From the days when, running against Dukakis in 1988, he stole the life story of Brit Neil Kinnick, to just four years ago when he referred to Barack Obama as a clean African American (what were Jesse Jackson and Al Sharpton?  Dirty?), Joe Biden has always been a national disgrace.  In fact, he's embraced it.

That's why I was alarmed four years ago when, rather than choosing Indiana Senator Evan Bayh (a clearn Hoosier as opposed to a dirty Delawarian), Obama opted for the buffoon as his running mate.

His "y'all" will be back in chains comment this week merely proves once again what a laughing stock our Veep is.

However, the one word that counts will not be buffoon but rather liability.

In a close election, Joe Biden has clearly become a liability for the Demagogue in Chief, and word has surfaced today that even before the "y'all" comment, Team Obama had reached out to Hillary Clinton to assume the Veep mantle for the coming campaign.  No buffoon she, Hillary apparently said thanks but no thanks. 

It's not just John McCain and Sara Palin offering Obama good advice (really good advice--albeit from the opposing camp) on dumping Biden, Democrats have apparently reached the belated conclusion that the buffoon must go....although don't expect any hack from Obama's party to admit it.

The Biden flap sent me scurrying to the Almanac to ascertain just how many Veeps have been dumped midstream by their Presidents. 

It's more than I thought, and I trust more than you might think as well.

Of course, Jefferson, Lincoln, and FDR come to mind immediately.

After all, how could Jefferson have kept Aaron Burr in 1804....after Burr had nearly stolen the Presidency from Jefferson himself in 1801 and then had killed poor Alexander Hamilton in the famous Jersey shore duel?

FDR, in the process of leading us into war in 1940, couldn't stomach Texan John Nance Garner any longer so he turned to socialist Henry Wallace who then had to be dumped in 1944 in favor of the less radical gray eminence, Missouri haberdasher and machine creation Harry Truman.  In his book The Golden Age, Gore Vidal contends that FDR, knowing he was never going to live out his term, opted for Truman, whom he barely ever spoke to, sort of as revenge on his unsuspecting countrymen (It's worth a read).

We remember Lincoln because of the great name of Hannibal Hamlin, his choice in 1860, and of course because of the impeached (albeit never convicted) Andrew Johnson in 1864.

Historian assure us that Eisenhower came close to dumping Nixon in 1956.  Heck, Ike came close to dumping Nixon in 1952 until he was saved by the Checkers speech.  (Trivia question--Just what was Checkers anyway?)

But there were other midstream Veep changes.

James Madison opted for Elbridge Gerry (he of the mandering fame) for the second term but then George Clinton had died, so we can hardly count that one.

Ulysses S. Grant went from Schuyler Colfax to Henry Wilson who then proceeded to die in office.

We mustn't forget Andrew Jackson whose first Vice President John C. Calhoun was far too much a secessionist (even back in the early 1830s; Calhoun had also served as John Quincy Adam's less than loyal Veep) thus necessitating the arrival of Martin Van Buren to the Veep's chair.

Nixon didn't really get rid of Agnew (he was far too valuable with "nattering nabobs of negativism"), but the Feds nailed Spiro who should have ended up in jail rather than simply out of the Veep seat.  Hoorah, for Gerald Ford!

That's just about it.  Washington stuck with Adams, but of course, those were the days when the person who received the second most votes for President automatically became Veep (what strange bedfellows Adams and Jefferson were).  Wilson stuck with Thomas R. Marshall. 

If you discover another dumped Veep, let me know.

Meanwhile, Obama would benefit from the adivce of McCain and Palin:  pull an FDR; pull a Lincoln; pull a U.S. Grant; say bye-bye to Biden before Labor Day.

No, Barack, you don't have to thank me for the advice, but in a close election 80 days from now, you'll be thanking yourself.

Can Democrats really afford this loose cannon going off the week before the election?   I think not.

Pundits today are saying that dumping Biden would hurt Obama with the labor vote, the blue collar vote in Pennsylvania and Ohio (as if they're going to gravitate to Romney).

If Hillary can't be talked into it (it really would not be in her best interest as she gears up to run in 2016--count on it, she's running even if she won't admit it until 2014)), then I say, "Bring on Evan."  He's jobless, politically speaking of course; actually he's a Fox News commentator; and he would tend to give Obama the appearance of moving back toward the precious center.

Checkers, of course, was a little cocker spaniel, a dog that Nixon used to gain sympathy with the American public (along with Pat wearing a "Republican cloth coat") back in those heady days of 1952.