Rep Steve Vaillancourt



Tuesday
Apr242012

In Praise Of--Of All Things--Four Democrats

I served with Liz Merry on the Local and Regulated Revenues Committee last term, and when I noted on this web site that she is helping manage the Jackie Cilley for Governor campaign, I felt compelled to point out that Liz was one of the finest Reps I've ever worked with in either party.  I wasn't surprised that she was defeated in her bid for re-election (I had predicted it would be a big year for Republicans), but I can honestly say that I miss her more than just about anybody I've ever served with.  Melissa Lyons, the Democrat from Rockingham County who defeated Ken Weyler, was another fine Representative who is greatly missed as is Rep. Susan Price from the Strafford County.  These are three Democrats we need back if the system is to work in a bi-partisan manner again.

As Democrats, they are all undoubtedly more fiscally liberal than I am, but we could use their intelligence and their diligence back in the House.  They never voted simply along party lines as too many Democrats and Republicans do.  Liz always spent whatever amount of time necessary to get the information required on a given issue, and at a time when Democrats were in control, she worked with other Reps across the aisle, a practice we rarely see these days.

Were I a Democrat, I would be supporting Jackie Cilley for Governor; she seems to be the most realistic pragmatic problem solver in the field right now.  No, I will never support an income tax, but the fact that Jackie Cilley refuses to take the pledge does not necessarily mean she'll push for such a tax; it simply means she's more honest than Maggie! The fact that Liz Merry is working with Jackie makes me all the more confident that Jackie Cilley would be the best choice for Democrats for Governor.  Of course, some would say that my endorsement for a Democrat is tantamout to the kiss of death.  Whatever!  There's always the write-in slot on the Republican ballot.

Tuesday
Apr242012

UNH Poll More Terrible News For Republicans

As if the Dartmouth poll (see yesterday's blog) wasn't bad enough news for Republicans, Andy Smith's UNH poll for Channel Nine is out this week, and it's enough to make a grown Republican cry.

Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by nine points in New Hampshire, about the same as it was for the last UNH survey, and although that appears to be at odds with the Dartmouth numbers, look at it this way.  As I noted yesterday, Dartmouth oversampled Republicans by about seven points.  In fact, if you look at just the Undeclared voters in the Dartmouth poll, Obama leads by seven (44-37).  With Republicans and Democrats about equal in registration, I see no reason to oversample either party (Undeclareds should in fact be over weighted since about 45 percent of New Hampshire voters are registered as neither Republican nor Democrat, and while Undeclareds tend to vote less overall, that's not the case in a Presidential year).

Thus, the Dartmouth and UNH polls look amazingly similar in favor of Obama if you discount the weighting.  (I'm guessing that Andy Smith's weighting was proper).

But it's much worse.  As released today on Channel Nine, both relatively unknown Democrats, Maggie Hassan and Jackie Cilley, lead both Republicans, Ovide LaMontagne and Kevin Smith, in the gubernatorial race, and in two of the four scenarios, it's outside the margin of error.  For sure, the number of undecideds is huge at this point, but I suspect that to know Ovide is not to like him more (note my Magnificent Catastrophe series on the 1996 race last week), and I suspect that to know Kevin Smith is not to like him more either.

In other words, I would have expected an early lead for Republicans with Democrats scrambling to catch up.

In fact, Hassan leads Ovide 34-29, and she leads Smith 29-24.  Cilley leads Ovide by one, but she leads Smith by seven.

I've been saying for months that Republicans need another candidate for Governor, that Republicans need Ted Gatsas.

A rabid right winger on social issues, in the mold of Ovide or Smith or Bill O'Brien, will prove to be a disaster for the Grand Old Party, not just at the gubernatorial level, but up and down the ballot as well.

The UNH poll shows that Governor Lynch remains popular, 72-17 for a net plus of 55 points, not too much different from what we saw in the Dartmouth poll.  That should tell us that if any misguided House bills manage to get through the Senate, Lynch will most assuredly have the public's support with his vetoes as the House and Senate attempt to override.

This is terrible news for Republicans, and it comes the same day that Concord became the second city to sue to state over redistricting.  Manchester filed suit yesrterday; more are sure to come, forcing O'Brien to issue his just plain silly attacks on Republican leaders in cities and towns which do the right thing and sue.

You just can't make this stuff up!

The only way it could be any worse is that if UNH has news and Channel 9 is holding back word of the Legislature's approval.  Will we see a headline tomorrow that O'Brien's people are out of favor by a two to one margin?

That's not a prediction, but it wouldn't surprise me.

Or maybe American Research Group will weigh in with numbers.

Get ready for it, Speaker Norelli or Speaker Campbell and President Pierce!

Run, Ted, Red.  It's now a question of saving a Grand Old Party.   My bumper sticker is ready to go on; and I'm already wearing the cap (thanks again, Senator Gallus).

Tuesday
Apr242012

Oh Happy Day For Manchester Shoppers!

No this isn't about politics.

It isn't even about sports (although I have declared this the summer that I will concentrate on reading great baseball books--I've already completed eight and will talk about them here later).

This is only tangentially related to culture.

This blog is dedicated to a topic which affects all of us.

SHOPPING!

Oh happy day for Manchester shoppers!  After years of waiting, the city's new Market Basket, across from the Verizon Wireless Center on Elm Street, opened today to huge crowds, including me.

Last summer, I had planned to do a series on comparing prices at various chain stores, but I got in trouble at one of the chains of Manchester.  I was actually evicted from the store for having the audacity to actually write down prices.  I noted it on my TV show and also noted that I would never shop at that store again, but at the same time, I decided to kill the comparison series--apparently markets don't like their shoppers getting bargains.

Market Basket is the exception.  Until today, Manchester has never had a Market Basket (Hooksett, Londonderry, and Concord do but most people don't want to drive to shop).  For years, I've been shopping at Concord's two Market Baskets on my way home from the State House.  I started out at the smaller Storrs Street store, but moved on up to the Fort Eddy Plaza one (it's bigger and has a deli, including free coffee and snacks as you shop--what bargain hunter could possibly pass up such luxuries?).

When I used to do a live TV show, we'd occasionally get callers from people wondering when the Manchester Market Basket was going to open.

Today, today, today.  Not merely bargains on selected items each week (a tactic of Stop and Shop and Shaws) but great prices, great selection, and great specials.  A poind of bacon for $1.99; stock up on bacon.

Have you ever, like me, become aggravated when places like Shaws and Stop and Shop advertise two for one specials and the sale price is still more than you'd expect to pay.  Like, instead of offering bacon for $1.99, other stores would offer two for the regular $5.99 price or $2.99 each, hardly a bargain.  This come-in is very common with ice creams.

Deli and produce prices are much less expensive at Market Basket, often times less than half what you'd pay at the other chain stores.  If you don't believe me, check out the three great staples, lettuce, tomatoes, and onions (especially scallions...or as we used to say when I was growing up in Vermont--green tails).  Frozen foods are also much more of a bargain at the Basket.

I suspect we had our shopping habits ingrained at an eary age from our parents.

For that I need to thank my long since departed mother.  She knew a good bargain, and so do I.

Apparently so do most Manchester shoppers.  They've long awaited the Market Basket, and today it opened.

Dig this.  As I began taking bags from the shopping cart at my car, a young man came up to assist me.  Wow!  Next thing you know they'll be pumping gas for us.

One quibble.  I've long been accustomed to seeing roast chickens at a bargain $3.99 at the Concord Market Baskets, much less than Shaws or Stop and Shop or Hannaford.  However, today in my walk through the store, I noted the Manchester Market Basket priced the roast chickents at $4.69.  Is this just for Manchester or is the price going up in all the stores?  It's no big deal for me--I wasn't going to buy one, was merely price comparing.

Maybe I should attempt to do the comparison series again, and if a store manager tries to stop me, tell him to call the police and take me to jail.  Certainly, there can't be a law against writing down prices for comparison purposes!

Monday
Apr232012

First Redistricting Law Suit Filed

Let the law suits begin. 

It's kind of like the flag going up for the Indianapolis 500.  We knew it was coming, and now it's happened.  For the City of Manchester, Thomas J. Donovan, of the law firm of McLane, Graf, Raulerson, and Middleton, has filed what we suspect will be just the first of numerous redistricting law suits.

The nine page document, filed in the Hillsborough Councy Northern District April 23, lists Secretary of State William Gardner as the person being sued, but of course, the suit is against House Speaker Bill O'Brien who reacted swiftly to the suit by trying to blame the litigants for "wasting" tax payer money.

As we all know, Bill O'Brien has in fact already wasted $50,000 of taxpayer money on lawyers who advised him to stand by a redistricting plan that even its supporters, including House Redistrciting Chair Paul Mirski, R-Enfield, admit is in clear violation of the amendment passed by New Hampshire voters in 2006.  Rather than accept a plan which both parties were prepared to live with, O'Brien bullied, coerced, and cajoled Republican House members into overrriding a gubernatorial veto, thus setting the stage for promised law suits.

I've attempted to download a copy of the suit for your perusual here, but it doesn't seem to be reproducing well here.  Suffive it to say that as I've said all along, I believe Concord, Pelham, and dozens of other towns have even greaters standing to challenge this plan than does Manchester.

Speaker O'Brien's refusal to listen to reason now threatens the filing period for State Represenatives which was supposed to being in early June.

HILLSBOROUGH,

SS.

Northern

District

SUPERIOR

COURT

City

of Manchester

V.

William M.

Gardner, Secretary of State

VERIFIED PETITION

FOR DECLARATORY JUDGMENT

AND

PRELIMINARY AND PERMANENT INJUNCTION

CONCERNING HOUSE

OF REPRESENTATIVES REAPPORTIONMENT

City

of Manchester ("Manchester"), amunicipal corporation, by and through its attorneys

Mclane,

Graf, Raulerson & Middleton, Professional Association, petitions this Court and

complains

against William M. Gardner, Secretary of State as follows:

1.

The inhabitants of Manchester, the largest and most diverse municipality in New

Hampshire,

with twelve electoral wards and 8.3%o of New Hampshire's population, have been

unconstitutionally

deprived of representation in the State House of Representatives due to

multiple

Manchester

defects with its reapportionment plan, adopted over the veto of the Governor.seeks a declaration that the reapportionment plan violates both the New Hampshire

and

plan.

United States Constitution and seeks injunctive relief to prevent the implementation of that

A.

Parties and Jurisdiction

2.

Manchester is a municipal corporation with an address clo City Solicitor, One

City Hall

Plaza, Manchester, NH 03101.

3.

107

William M. Gardner is the New Hampshire Secretary of State with an address atNorth Main St. Concord, NH 03301. He is the chief election officer of New Hampshire,

RSA 652:23,

and is named in his offrcial capacity.

4.

This Court has subject matter jurisdiction of this matter pursuant to RSA 49I:7

and22

and RSA 498:1. Venue is proper in this Court pursuant to RSA 507:9.

B.

Statement of Facts

i.

Representatives from Manchester and the 2010 Census

5.

The 2010 decennial census conducted by the United States determined that the

population

consists

of New Hampshire was 1,316,470. The New Hampshire House of Representativesof 400 members. N.H.CONST. part. II art. 9. Based on the constitutional mandate that

representatives be

should

apportioned "as equal as circumstances will admit", each state representativerepresent close to 3291 people. Id.

6.

The 2010 decennial census conducted by the United States determined that the

population of

Manchester was 109,565, or 8.323 percent of New Hampshire's population.

Applying

leads

that percentage to the 400 members in the New Hampshire House of Representativesto the inference that Manchester would receive 33 to 34 representatives.

7.

electing

In recent years, Manchester voters elected 35 representatives, with 9 wards3 representatives each and three wards sharing 8 representatives. Therefore some

reapporlionment is required.

8.

Manchester is by far the largest municipality in New Hampshire. Its population

exceeds

that of six of New Hampshire's ten counties.

9.

For electoral purposes, Manchester divides itself into 12 wards of roughly equal

population.

the

RSA 44:4;Manchester City Charter $5.33. Following the 2010 decennial census,voters of Manchester approved an amendment to $5.33 to reapportion the city's 12 wards to

reflect shifts in

population. The average ward population is 9130, and when that is divided by

themean

of 3291inhabitantsperrepresentative,thequotientis2.TT4representativesperward.

.|

Manchester's

average ward population would make the population of each ward equivalent to

the

30th largest town out o1234 in New Hampshire.

ii.

House Bill592

10.

Under N.H. CONST, part II, art. 9, the House of Representatives is required every

ten

States. It

years to apportion its representatives in accordance with the last general census of the Uniteddevised a reapportionment plan for itself, HB 592, which it passed on January 18,

2012.

The bill later passed the Senate, but on March 23,2012 it was vetoed by Governor John

Lynch who

also provided a statement of his objections pursuant to N.H. CONST. pt. II, art.44.

11.

objections to

House

Pursuant to N.H.CONST. pt. II, art.44,the Governor's veto along with hisHB 592 must be returned to the chamber in which the legislation originated, theof Representatives. The House must then "enter the objections at large on their joumal,

and

proceed to reconsider it" and only then may it again pass HB 592,bú this time by a twothirds

vote.

Id.

12.

any other

The House of Representatives did not first "enter atlarge on their journal" or onwritten document the Governor's objections to the vetoed bill. The House of

Representatives

gave no notice of any intent to take up the Governor's objections to the vetoed

bill.

Instead, William L. O'Brien, the Speaker of the House of Representatives, on the moming

of March

Immediately

28,2012 called a closed door caucus for House members of his political party.thereafter, he called the House to order and ananged for the reading of the

Govemor's

veto message on HB 592 "without first being printed in the House Calendar" and

then presided over

2012 House Journal

a vote to override the veto. The vote was 246 - 112 to override the veto.No. 15. There were 38 House members not present for the override vote.

-)-

The

Senate thereafter voted to override the veto. HB 592 has now been adopted as Chapter 9 of

2012

Laws. It repeals and reenacts RSA 662:5.

13.

House Bil1592 makes a number of changes to the make-up of the House of

Representatives.

With respect to Manchester, each ward starts with two representatives, for a

total

of 24,leaving a deficit of 9 or 10 representatives to make up. Seven additional

representatives

are allocated by grouping certain wards together, called floterial districts. Two

groupings

of three wards each share two representatives, for a total of four. One grouping of

four

wards shares three representatives. That brings the total to 31.

14.

But two wards in Manchester, Wards 8 and 9, do not share additional

representatives

with other Manchester wards. Instead, Wards 8 and 9 are gtouped with the Town

of Litchfield

to the south to share two additional representatives.

15.

HB 592 therefore leaves Manchester with only 31 representatives, and it shares

two

additional representatives with Litchfield, which also receives two representatives on its

own.

16.

Manchester Wards 8 and t have 18,304 inhabitants and Litchfield has 8271

inhabitants.

By allocating the two floterial seats in accordance with the combined populations of

Wards

representative)

8 and 9 and Litchfield, Wards 8 and 9 receive 5.38 representatives (3,402 perand Litchfieldreceives 2.62representatives (3,157 perrepresentative). Litchfield

therefore is overrepresented by

4% from the 3,291mean Inhabitants of Wards 8 and 9 are

underrepresented

by 3% from the 3,297 mean Applying this same analysis citylvide, and even

counting the

two floterial seats, Manchester is underrepresented by 3o/o, i.e. there are3,287

additional

Manchester inhabitants above the mean number of 3,297 inhabitants per

-4-

representative,

which translates almost precisely into Manchester being shortchanged another

full

representative.

l7.

The House of Representatives considered feasible reappodionment plans which

preserved

at least 33 seats wholly within Manchester, which afforded Litchfield its own district,

and

which did so while maintaining in all area districts less than a ten percent deviation from the

ideal number

of inhabitants per representative.

18.

Manchester has found no record of it sharing a representative with a surrounding

town

since its incorporation as a city in 1846.

iii.

Manchester and Litchfield Are Very Different Communities

19.

Demographically, Manchester and Litchfield are very different communities.

About half of

Manchester inhabitants live in rental housing; about 90% of Litchfield inhabitants

live

in homes that they own. More than 18% of Manchester inhabitants are members of minority

groups

household income

while the comparable number in Litchfieldis 4o/o. 2010 United States Census. Medianin Manchester is 552,906, while it is almost twice that, $97,591, in Litchfield.

United

States Census Bureau, 2009 American Community Survey.

20.

Manchester is the state's largest school district, educating 15,762 students this

year.

receive

Of those students,3Io/o are members of minority groups and 460/o are income eligible tofree or reduced price lunch. Litchfield educates this year 1580 students, one tenth that of

Manchester. Of

those students, only 7%o are members of minority groups and only 9o/o are

income

eligible to receive free of reduced price lunch. New Hampshire Department of

Education

2010 - 2011 School District Profiles.

21.

Manchester and Litchfield do not share municipal or school services. For

instance,

the communities have entirely separate public school systems. They participate in

5-

different

regional planning commissions. There is no common drinking water or wastewater

system. By

contrast, Manchester shares one or more of those services with every other town in

its

vicinity, including Deerfield, Candia, Hooksett, Auburn, Londonderry, Derry, Bedford,

Goffstown,

New Boston and Weare.

22.

received from the

Manchester has unique interests in dealing with state legislation. Manchesterstate this fiscal year $56,761,000 of annual education adequacy grants under a

formula

learners, special

that currently targets additional funding based upon the number of English languageeducation participants and free and reduced lunch. RSA 198:40-a and 41 .

Changes

to this formula would affect Manchester profoundly. The re-establishment of school

building

aid is parlicularly important to Manchester, which hosts 22 separate public schools,

more than

received

any other community in the state. See, HB 533. Under the state budget, Manchesterfrom the state this fiscal year $4,894,000 in revenue sharing fi'om rooms & meals tax

receipts.

Since 90o/o of that revenue is obligated to bond repayment on the city-owned Yerizon

Wireless Arena,

reduction or elimination of that revenue sharing would cause technical default of

those

bond covenants. A large portion of Manchester's budget comes from its receipt of federal

contracts that

pass through state govemment agencies. Those contracts, whether for public

health, human services, education

or refugee resettlement, all depend upon the contìnuation of

Manchester's strong

proposal to

relationship with state government. Finally, with the advent of a newbuild replacement state prison facilities in Manchester, Manchester requires strong

locally-focused

advocacy from its representatives.

6

C.

Count

Cause of ActionI (Unconstitutionality of HB 592)

23.

Manchester incorporates into this Count I the allegations that it has made in

paragraphs

I through 22 of this Petition.

24.

comply with

last federal

representative

HB 592 fails to comply with N.H.CONST. part II, art, Il because it does notthe requirement that "[w]hen the population of any town or ward, according to thecensus is within a reasonable deviation from the ideal population for one or moreseats the town or ward shall have its own district of one or more representative

seats."

It also fails to comply with N.H.CONST. part II art. 9 because it does not comply with

the

requirement that the "house of representatives, lshall be] biennially elected and founded on

principles of

equality, and representation therein shall be as equal as circumstances will admit."

25.

Specifically,HB 592 is unconstitutional because Manchester has enough

inhabitants

to entitle the city to be guaranteed a total of 33 or 34 representatives on its own, and

not

enough

merely the 31 representatives plus a floterial district set forth in HB 592. Wards 8 and t haveinhabitants to entitle those wards, apart or together with other Manchester wards, to

"have

entitlement

its own district of one or more representative seats." Moreover giving Manchester itsto its own representatives will not deprive Litchfield of its own district.

26.

As a result, this Court should declare pursuant to RSA 49I:22 that Chapter 9,

Laws

2012 is unconstitutional as not complying with N.H. CONST. part II art. 9 and 1 l.

27

. In addition , HB 592 deprives the Manchester and its inhabitants \Mith equal voting

rights

and equal protection of the laws protected by N.H. CONST. part I art. 1,2 and 1 1 . These

rights

may be interpreted in light of the experience of the Fourteenth and Fifteenth Amendments

to

the United States Constitution, as well as by Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act,42 U.S.C.

$1973.

The right to vote and the right to be elected are afforded the status of fundamental rights

n

in

New Hampshire. See Akins v. Secretary of State, 154 N.H. 67,11(2006). Specifically, HB

592 impermissibly dilutes

and abridges the voting strength of all Manchester voters, including

those

who belong to racial and color minorities, and those who are economically disadvantaged.

28.

As a result, the Court should declare pursuant to RSA 491:22 that Chapter 9,

Laws

rights

2012 is unconstitutional because it denies Manchester and its inhabitants with equal votingand equal protection of the laws protected by N.H. CONST. part I art. 1 ,2 and 1l. See

generally, the Fourteenth

and Fifteenth Amendments to the United States Constitution ancl

Section

2 of the Voting Rights Ac¡42 U.S.C. $1973.

29.

the

This Court should also issue a preliminary and permanent injunction to preventSecretary of State from preparing for the 2012 primary and general elections for the House of

Representatives

based upon Chapter 9, Laws 2072, which is unconstitutional. Manchester faces

irreparable harm

the

and there is no adequate remedy at law should the Secretary of State execute onreapportionment plan of Chapter 9, Laws 2012. Immediate injunctive relief is required

because

otherwise the Secretary of State will rely upon Chapter 9, Laws 2012 to determine the

districts

within which candidates may file for election as representative during the primary

election

filing period which extends from June 6 to 75,2012. See, Secretary of State's 2012

Political

Calendar.

WHEREFORE,

the City of Manchesterrequests that this Court:

A.

Issue orders of notice for a temporary hearing within fourteen days and for an

expedited hearing

on the merits of this matter;

B.

with

is

Declare that Chaptet 9,Laws2012the requirements of N.H.CONST. partI, art.unconstitutional because it fails to comply

7,2,

and 11 and part II, art.9 and 77:.

-8-

C.

Order a preliminary and permanent injunction against the Secretary of State to

prevent

him from preparing for the 2012 ptimary and general elections for the House of

Representatives

based upon Chapter 9, Laws 2012;

D.

Respectfully submitted,

Order such other and further relief as may be just.

CITY

By

OF MANCHESTER.its Attorneys,

McLANE,

GRAF, RAULERSON & MIDDLETON,

PROFES

SIONAL AS SOCIATION

Date:

April 23,2012

Professional

Association

900

Elm Street, P.O. Box 326

Manchester,

Telephone:

New Hampshire 03 105 -0326(603) 625 -6464

VERIFICATION

I, Theodore

L. Gatsas, Mayor, being duly authorized,have verified that the facts set forth

in the foregoing

Verified Petition are true and accurate to the best of my knowledge and belief.

Theodore L.

STATE

COUNTY

MayorOF NEW HAMPSHIREOF HILLSBOROUGH

_*l

On

this 2.* 'day of 4p'i1,2072, Theodore L. Gatsas personally appeared before me and

swore that the

By:

foregoing statements are true to the best of hislher knowledge and belief.

McLWe,

Graf, Raulerson & Middleton

9

Monday
Apr232012

Romney Wins NH But Social Conservative Lose Big In Dartmouth Poll

            Republicans are not going to like these numbers, but since it’s the same poll which shows Mitt Romney ahead of Barack Obama by 1.5 points in New Hampshire, Republicans  really can’t shoot the messenger.

            Even worse for Republicans, when you look at the internals of the Nelson A. Rockefeller Center poll out of Dartmouth College, you discover that Republicans are actually over weighted in the sample—Democrats 27.2 percent, Republicans 33.6 percent, and Undeclareds 38.1 percent—in a state in which registered Republicans and Democrats are just about even and Undeclareds are 45 percent of the population.

            Rather than offer editorial comments on each and every number, I’m just going to print the results here with the overall comment that this is the first real indictment we’ve seen against Speaker Bill O’Brien and his attempt to hijack the state and the Republican Party with a radical right wing agenda.  Note that the Legislature is out of favor by 15 points, that gay marriage is supported by nearly a two to one margin, and on and on.

            It wasn’t easy finding the polling data—it’s very detailed—but I located it and spent the weekend analyzing the results.  At such an early stage in the electoral process, it should not come as a surprise that some many are undecided for so many questions (including the race for governor).  Apparently the pollsters made no attempt to “push” the undecided one way or another, so I would suggest the margins are most important at this state.

            Opposition to the ten cent cigarette tax decrease, pushed by Speaker Bill O’Brien last year, is nearly as great among Republicans as Democrats and Undeclared voters.  Similarly, supporting for banning cell phone use while driving crosses party lines (except apparnetly with O'Brien Republicans).

             I've provided exact wording on two of the questions. 

            As always, you don’t need to take my word for what I write here.        

            Check out https://rockefeller.dartmouth.edu/library/2012nhstateofstatepoll.pdf

            The contact at the top of the press release is Professor Ronald G. Shaiko (Ronald.g.shaiko@dartmouth.edu).  As always, we anxiously await data from other pollsters to either confirm or contradict these numbers.

            Here are the some of the many results:

 President:  (Romney always listed first)

Romney--43.9

Obama 42.4

Margin--+1.5 Romney

Democrats—14-79

Republicans—72-13

Undeclared—37-44

Women—39-48

Men—49-37

 Job Approval

President Obama—39.2-48.1 (minus 8.9; last year it was minus10.4)

Governor Lynch—59-12 (+47; was +51.6 % last year)

Senator Jeanne Shaheen—40-29 (+11)

Senator Kelly Ayotte—36-24 (+12)

 New Hampshire Legislature Performance

Approve—21.9% (24.0 % last year)

Disapprove—36.1 % (37.8 % last year)

Margin—Disapprove 14.2 % (-13.8 % last year)

 Same Sex Marriage (support listed first)

Support—55.1 % (41.5 % last year)

Oppose—30.9 % (42.2 % last year)

Margin—Support +24.2 % (last year minus 0.7%)

Men—49-37 (+12)

Women—61-25 (+36)

Democrats—76-13  (+63)

Republicans—29-51 (-22)

Undeclared—66-24 (+42)

 Expansion of Gambling

("Do you support or oppose the expansion of gambling in New Hampshire to include video slot machines and casinos?")

Favor--40.9% (last year 41.5 %)

Oppose--41.6 % (last year 41.3%)

Margin--(-0.7 percent; last year +0.2%)

Democrats—35-44 (-11)

Republicans—42-43 (-1)

Undeclared—45-38 (+7)

Men—45-41 (+4)

Women—37-42 (-5)

 10 cent per pack cigarette DECREASE

Favor—23.8 %

Oppose—59.1 %

Margin—(-35.3%)

Democrats—26-62 (-36)

Republicans—24-57 (-23)

Undeclared—22-60 (-38)

Men—25-57 (-32)

Women—23-61 (-38)

 Ban on Cellular Phone Use While Driving

Support—63.8 %

Oppose—27.1 %

Margin—Oppose 36.7 %

Democrats—64-25 (+39)

Republicans—61-28 (+33)

Undeclared—68-26 (+42)

Men—62-32 (+40)

Women—66-22 (=44)

 Allowing Students Who Attend NH Colleges To Vote There

Support—40.2

Oppose—38.0

Margin-- +2.2 %

Democrats—56-28 (+28)

Republicans-29-46 (-17)

Undeclared—40-38 (+2)

Men—42-42

Women—38-34 (-4)

 Allowing Guns On College Campuses/State Property

Support—17.7

Oppose—66.2

Margin--+48.5 % oppose

Democrats—4-85 (-81)

Republicans—28-53 (-25)

Undeclared—18-65 (-47)

Men—25-61 (-36)

Women—10-71 (-61)

 

Employer Refusing Contraception

(“Do you support or oppose allowing an employer to refuse to provide contraceptive coverage in insurance plans on religious grounds?”

Support—27.5

Oppose—52.1

Margin--+24.6 percent oppose

Democrats—14-71 (-57)

Republicans—36-42 (-6)

Undeclared—31-50 (-19)

Men—33-48 (-15)

Women—27-58 (-31)

Choice For Governor

Ovide LaMontagne—12

Kevin Smith—2

Maggie Hassan—5

Jackie Cilley—4

Kendra—0

Unsure—78

Favorable/Unfavorable

LaMontagne—23-20 (+3)

Smith—6-10 (-4)

Hassan—9-9 (Even)

Cilley—6-7 (-1)

Kendra—4-8 (-4)