Rep Steve Vaillancourt


Fan Mail From Some Flounder--Part III

To steal a line from President Richard Nixon (who in fact was a crook!), "Let me make one thing perfectly clear."  I do nothing expecting either positive or negative reinforcement.  I live by a personal code of conduct of being honest and fair to all.  The fact that some people hate me (His Vileness of course) is something I come to expect; in fact, it's a badge of honor when the corrupt and loathsome show they hate me.  Similarly, I never expect positive comments, but I must say, some like this are welcome.  Sadly, the Speaker represents the lowest, most base elements of our society. Even more sadly, most Republicans seem only to willing to kiss his ring...not to mention various body parts.  Rest assured, the dark reign is coming to an end.



Thank you for calling out the speaker on unfairness.  I was so happy to see someone standing up for the constituents of NH.  The speaker does not represent anybody in need of health care, education, or employment.
Thank you again,

Fan Mail From Some Flounder--Part II

More fan mail from the astute...How long do you think we'll have to hold our breath till we get an apology from the Speaker or His Vileness??

From: Ron
Sent: Thursday, May 17, 2012 9:38 AM
To: Vaillancourt, Steve
Subject: A note of support

While your recent comments have created a thunderstorm, mostly for criticism of unseemly behavior, I have to sympathize with you.

It seems the primary “unseemliness” in the House is the Speaker’s.

As always, the holder of the power defines the climate.


Ron Carr

Enfield, NH



Fan Mail From Some Flounder

Most are probably to young to remember the line from Rocky and Bullwinkle (it must be available in reruns somewhere; if not, it should be), but "Fan Mail From Some Flounder" is a classic I'll never forget.  I think I'll use it, humorously of course, to pass along emails I get from people.  Here's a modest example from someone who obviously got "Seigheilgate" absolutely correct unlike the myriad of ignoramuses out there.  Mail continues to run three or four to one in support, but who's counting?
I sent this letter to both the Concord Monitor and the Union Leader. I doubt they'll print it, so someone suggested I send you a copy.
Dear Editor,
I understand completely why Rep. Vaillancourt saluted Speaker O'Brien with a "Sieg Heil". He was intimating that the Speaker was running the House of Representatives in a manner reminiscent of a leader of the National Socialist German Workers' Party. The reference to the politics that led to the Holocaust may seem overly dramatic, but it's not far off the mark. The World Dictionary defines fascism as "any right-wing ideology or movement with an authoritarian and hierarchical structure that is fundamentally opposed to democracy and liberalism". Does that not describe the current political climate in the NH House of Representatives?  The Republican leadership is trying to drag us back down a dangerous and slippery slope. When women's freedoms are being curtailed, basic civil rights denied to gays and lesbians, and immigrants deemed unwanted, what group is next to be persecuted? I do not mean to discount the experience of Holocaust survivors - my father helped liberate Dachau and I have photos he took documenting horrors I will not describe here. It is out of utmost respect for the memory of those who suffered that I'd like to remind everyone that fascism comes in many forms.
Yes, Rep. Vaillancourt was being dramatic. He was mocking you, Mr. Speaker. And you took the bait. Your response - ordering him removed from the hall and making him apologize until you were satisfied that he was apologizing to you - shows just how autocratic and egotistical you are. Did he hit too close to home?
Anne L. Boedecker, PhD

The Week In Polls--May 17--Guinta Trails CSP By Four; Ovide Up One

            As regular readers here know, due to the Democratic bias, I don’t really trust PPP polls.  However, even taking the numbers with a shaker of salt, Frank Guinta cannot be happy with results just released today.  Remember that last week Larry Sabato had moved the seat from leans Republican to toss-up.  Today’s PPP poll has Carol Shea Porter beating Guinta by four points, 47-43.  Even considering the source, the numbers tend to make sense.  Remember that the UNH poll from a few weeks ago showed people in the Manchester area favoring a Democrat for State Rep by a 20 point margin.  This is Guinta territory, and he probably should now be considered an underdog.  It’s most likely yet another indication of the rare phenomenon that I refereed to last week, reverse coattails.  House Speaker Bill O’Brien continues to so taint the Republican Party brand so severely that he could bring Guinta (and perhaps even Romney) down with him.

            Remember, you heard it here first and second.

            In the second congressional district, it’s close as expected.  PPP has it dead even at 42-42.  This should actually be considered good news for Bass although cannons will be fired more, rather than less, here in coming months.

            PPP also has Ovide Lamontagne up one point (40-39) over Hassan, but they apparently failed to do a Lamontagne-Cilley match-up or anything with Kevin Smith.  Please correct me if I’m wrong; I’m getting this from Real Clear Politics.

            Polls at the national level are truly confusing and seem to change on a daily basis.  Rasmussen had Romney up over Obama by as much as seven points one time last week.  It’s down to one point (46-45).  Gallup has a tie (45-45); CBS News/New York Times had Romney up three points (46-43) Monday, but Fox News, which most would consider the most conservative outfit, actually has Obama up seven points (46-39).

            Go figure.  It’s the polling world turned upside down.

            Odds are Fox has gotten hold of some bad data; at least that’s what Sean Hannity, who only reports news he agrees with honestly, is sure to tell us.

            IBD/CSM/TIPP (whatever that is) has Obama up three (43-40), but note that Obama is only at 43 percent.  More undecided voters than we usually see cannot be considered a good sign for an incumbent.

            Similarly, Fox has Obama’s approval rating back into positive territory (49-47) while it’s even (47-47) with Gallup and on the negative side with Rasmussen (47-52).

            Republicans are doing much better in a wider range of generic congressional match-ups this week.  Rasmussen, which has the margin varying from two to nine points in recent weeks, has it back up to seven points (45-38) this week, and there’s some verification of that trend from USA Today/Gallup which has the generic GOP candidate up six points (50-44).  Pundits more aged than I will likely say that’s a result of Barack Obama’s “evolution” on gay marriage.  I continue to insist it’s more the result of a new slew of poor economic news.

            Numbers out of North Carolina would tend to go against what I say.  Rasmussen has Obama trailing by eight (51-43) there now, in wake of that state’s 22 point approval of an anti-gay marriage lawn.

            Hey, I’m here to report the facts; not to spin the data.  I’m no Sean Hannity!

            Nate Silver at 538, whom I greatly respect, has some data with which I disagree with this week.  He’s moved the U.S. Senate from a Republican takeover to a 50-49 GOP edge with a likely independent from Maine (King) holding the swing vote (depending on who sits in the Vice Presidential chair).

            I might lower my prediction of Republican gains from seven to six seats (Maine will most likely be lost), but I still see five seats easily falling to Republicans—North Dakota, Nebraska, Montana, Missouri, and Wisconsin with Virginia a real possibility (and Ohio and Florida as outside shots), and with Elizabeth Warren’s Indian heritage story not about to go away, Scott Brown will most likely hold on to the most vulnerable Republican-held seat (although polls actually show it fairly dead even).

            We actually have new numbers out of Nebraska.  Former Democratic senator Bob Kerrey trails Fischer and not just by a few points; it’s 18 (56-38) according to Rasmussen.

            All the news out of Wisconsin is bad for Democrats.  Just about every poll has incumbent governor Scott Walker up by more than just a smidgeon in the recall race against Barrett (even PPP has the Democrat losing 49-45 while We Ask America has Walker up nine points, 52-43).

            There seems to be a spillover effect in the Presidential race.  I’ve always had Obama likely to win Wisconsin, but Marquette University has it tied at 46-46, and PPP has Obama up only one point (47-46), and Republican Tommy Thompson is up five points (47-42) in the U.S. Senate race.

            Game, set, and match when PPP has a Republican winning outside the margin of error.



Holy Erasure Batman! An Hour Of Writing Lost

As promised to various members of the media, I just wrote a 2000 word explantion of yesterday's House activities.  Lo and behold, Luddite that I am, when I attempted to post it, I appear to have lost it all.  I'll try to recreate it tomorrow (the second writing is always better).  In the meantime, here's one email I received from someone who apparently understands quite well.  I've left in errors and deleted the last name.  Here's my response first.


Thanks. Someone actually accused me of being anti-semitic.  I've done more than 40 hours filming Nazi, Communist, and Kaiser atrocities in and around Berlin!  I'll run footage of a trip to Essen and a synagogue destroyed in Kristillnacht on Liberty Express next week... Channel23 Manchester and on the web at
From: Monte
To: Vaillancourt, Steve
Subject: Our Pariotic Representative

Thank you Rep. Valencourt for attempting to stand up for the average citizen! Political Correctness in this country is being a Nazie, and what you said was responding in a patriotic way to emphasize the Nazie tactics preventing Representsive like yourself to act for the citizens of America. It is wrong and nonrepresentative for the citizens of New Hampshire to have the Housespeaker manipulate other Representatives! I don't know if I am in your distrect, but you got my vote anyway! In fact I wish you were the Presidential Candidate!
Sincerely, Monte
New London, NH