Steven J Connolly

Saturday
Apr192014

Not Seeing It. 

Here is a quick quiz which I think captures the essence of what I'm now thinking:

Pick any of the candidates for major office in New Hampshire and it doesn't matter whether they're Republican or Democrat. Write down the name of the candidate. Now here is the interesting part, write down five (5) things that this candidate stands for and the source of information that leads to what this candidate stands for. I'll do one:

Walter Haverstein, Candidate for Governor, against Medicaid Expansion, Candidate Announcement, Union Leader.(Think spelled Haverstein wrong, screw it I'm moving on).

This is just one example, politicians always play to the press and the all important coverage that the media brings. But I can actually remember a time when this wasn't always the case. For example I remember when Dick Swett and William Zeliff, Jr. ran for U.S. Congress and they would campaign throughout their respective districts; they would often talk about real people and real issues. Whether this was the paper mills in Berlin or the growing need for more capital investment in Hanover and their campaign were local.

Times do change and the politics does change with the times.

But what is making me think of this and you might have seen it is the typeface that is now used on the home foreclosure pages in the newspaper. The typeface is smaller so that they can fit more foreclosures onto the pages. On most days I'm accustomed to seeing 20-30 houses being taken. Today it's now 40-50.

Back to the quiz. Imagine a candidate stating that home forecloure rates in New Hampshrie are too high and the efforts that could be done to do something about it.

I'd be willing to be the typeface would be very small if there were even a candidate that said this.   

Sunday
Apr132014

No Thanks Even Needed. 

I've about given up on the very idea of expanded casino gaming in the Granite State. The politics of the whole situation is just very bad.

I'm reading and have been following in the Brattleboro Reformer Newspaper about the construction and opening of a brand new Off Track Betting (OTB) facility in Hinsdale, N.H. From what I'm hearing is that the facility "is ready to open." And that they're waiting for their state license and hope to be open in time for the Kentucky Derby on May 3rd. I'm really psyched about this I think this is going to be something positive for New Hampshire.

No thanks to the politicians though, because they certainly haven't done anything to make this happen.

I'm wondering if Gov. Hassan will be present for the ribbon cutting at this new OTB or, even throw out a bet for the first leg of the famed Triple Crown. The Former Hinsdale Racetrack Has Now Demolished. A New OTB Is Scheduled To Open In Hinsdale.

Saturday
Apr122014

Raising The Bar. A Scott ROI. 

Right now I'm watching the Scott Brown for U.S. Senate ad buy which is a commercial on WMUR. If you've ever seen the Bob Smith "My Senator" ads then this will give a pretty good idea of what the Scott Brown ad is like. I don't feel like digging to find the link on WMUR.com but it's in the political tab.

Let's move on.

So the critics, mainly Sen. Shaheen supporters are offering criticism of this early ad buy and attempting to use it to show how shallow and foreign Scott Brown really is to New Hampshire. I think if Scott Brown is going to run his campaign like this then he has a very good chance at prevailing come November, and here is why:

It sets the bar higher right out of the gate for not only his two and half Republican opponents but for the main target Shaheen herself. To counter this the Shaheen campaign actually is on the defensive, not only to diffuse the name recognition efforts of the Scott campaign but to fundraise to purchase an ad buy themselves. And I'm confident that once that facts are revealed the finances of Shaheen for ad buys originate in the elite circles of New York and California not in rural New Hampshire. The Scott campaign gains two instant tactical advantages with this early ad buy.

Speaking of strategy another interesting dynamic was the staged Democratic protest of the Scott Brown announcement for his run at Portsmouth. The shipyard workers had better be more careful in their political endorsement of Shaheen. If the gas tax legislation fails in the NH House of Representatives (I hope that it does) and Scott Brown gets elected to the U.S. Senate, the fact that this shipyard will be mothballed will be a foregone conclusion.

Friday
Apr112014

Picking Horses. Picking NH Politicians. 

I'm not anywhere near Kentucky or anything even remotely related to horse racing.

But I'm trying to do what I can to research the 20 contenders currently being considered for entry into the Kentucky Derby. My research is reminding me of the race for U.S. Senate between incumbent Jeanne Shaheen and newly announced Scott Brown who is facing a contested primary against other Republican candidates.

A horse race indeed.

Back to the Kentucky Derby. A horse named California Chrome is the immediate favorite with odds at 4-1. I'm reading nothing but positive ratings about the performance and training of this horse and it's running at Santa Anita track in Cali. When I started this research I'd assumed the favorite would be from Dubai or Saudi Arabia places where money is no object in horse racing, in past years these countries always seem to field the leading contenders so, to me California Chrome is a surprise.California Chrome Is A Favorite To Win The Kentucky Derby.

I'm looking at and liking Wildcat Red a horse described as unpredictable makes unexpected moves and then goes on to win the Florida Derby by two lengths. Wildcat Red has been described as a tenacious runner. Odds 15-1.

Next I'm reading into Ride On Curlin described as a horse that has made "continuous improvement." A horse that has improved with synthetic surfaces. I don't like this horse as a winner but a real good possibility of place or show finish. With odds of 30-1 a decent payout. Same thing with an Exotic bet. Exacta, Trifecta or a dime Superfecta.

The last horse that I really like is We Miss Artie. This is a very fast sprint runner that has massive early speed but for whatever reason can't close it out in the end and gets passed not far from the finish line. This is a horse that has increased in speed on the synthetic surface. If they can only find a way to keep this horse running on the front stretch. And with an odds payout as impressive as the early speed 50-1.

So of the horse racing experts are saying that transitioning from synthetic to dirt and back to synthetic creates a problem. I don't think anyone really knows the answer to this issue if it is an issue at all.

I wonder how NH politicians would run on a synthetic surface as opposed to dirt?

 

Wednesday
Apr092014

To Make An Exodus. 

These are some shots of the Cornish-Windsor Bridge over the Connecticut River that joins New Hampshire and Vermont. It was an experience at this bridge in 1986 or 1987 that made me want to pursue politics in New Hampshire. It's a story that I'll tell another day. Cornish-Windsor Bridge. One of my first experiences in NH politics.

But I'm doing this now as I've no put into motion a new strategy.... Walk Your Horses. Cornish-Windsor Bridge.

During the past months, winter in particular I've been really frustrated, angry at both the NH political landscape and the direction that this state is taking. The fuel for this frustration comes from my current employment in a retail salt mine in central NH where unfortunately, I have to see each day what is happening in this state from a long trench line filled with mud and dirty water.

So after finding some interesting type of employment ads in the Caledonian Record newspaper I've decided to apply for at least two employment opportunites in Vermont. If I'm successful in this endeavor I'm planning to stay in New Hampshire, it's just that I'll be working in Vermont. This will be good for my blog too as I'll be reporting on what I see in the Green Mountain state but since I have no connection(s) there the reporting will be....

And Vermont will be an environment that isn't New Hampshire because this situation just isn't working for me.