Some polling information. Snapshots in time. Large samples
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Insider Advantage released their latest statewide surveys in Iowa, New Hampshire, Michigan, South Carolina and Florida tonight. The polls were fielded from October 2-3.
Iowa
The Iowa survey sampled 1,339 likely Republican caucus-goers and has a MoE of +/- 2.7%.
Gov. Romney leads with 24% while 16% support Giuliani. Thompson and Huckabee are in a dead heat with 13% each and 10% support McCain. 11% support another candidate while 13% are undecided.
Oct. | |
Gov. Romney | 24% |
Giuliani | 16% |
Thompson | 13% |
Huckabee | 13% |
McCain | 10% |
Other | 11% |
Undecided | 13% |
*This is Insider Advantage’s first Iowa poll of the cycle so no trendline data is available.
New Hampshire
The New Hampshire survey sampled 1,082 likely Republican primary voters with a MoE of +/- 3%.
Gov. Romney leads with 28%, while Giuliani and McCain are statistically tied with 20% and 17% respectively. Thompson and Huckabee are in a dead heat with 8% each while 9% support another candidate and 10% are undecided.
Oct. | |
Gov. Romney | 28% |
Giuliani | 20% |
McCain | 17% |
Thompson | 8% |
Huckabee | 8% |
Other | 9% |
Undecided | 10% |
*This is Insider Advantage’s first New Hampshire poll this cycle, so no trendline data is available.
Michigan
The Michigan poll sampled 1,190 likely Republican primary voters and has a MoE of +/- 2.9%.
The poll finds a statistical 4 way tie for the lead with Giuliani at 19%, Gov. Romney at 16%, McCain at 15% and Thompson at 14%. 15% support another candidate and 21% are undecided.
Oct. | |
Giuliani | 19% |
Gov. Romney | 16% |
McCain | 15% |
Thompson | 14% |
Other | 15% |
Undecided | 21% |
*This is Insider Advantage’s first Michigan poll of the cycle, so no trendline data is available.
South Carolina
The South Carolina survey sampled 1,281 likely Republican primary voters with a MoE of +/- 2.8%.
16% support Gov. Romney, which is an increase of 8 points from 8% in May.
Thompson leads with 21%, an increase of 8 points from 13% in May, while 16% support Giuliani, practically unchanged from 18% over the same time period. 16% support McCain, statistically unchanged from 17% in May, while 18% support another candidate and 13% are undecided.
May | Oct. | May/Oct. Change | |
Thompson | 13% | 21% | +8 |
Giuliani | 16% | 18% | +2 |
McCain | 17% | 16% | -1 |
Gov. Romney | 8% | 16% | +8 |
Other | 31% | 18% | -13 |
Undecided | 13% | 13% | 0 |
Florida
The Florida survey sampled 725 likely Republican primary voters and has a MoE of +/- 3.7%.
16% support Gov. Romney, which is an increase of 4 points from 12% on September 17th.
Giuliani continues to lead with 29%, which is an increase of 5 points from 24% on September 17th. 19% support Thompson, a decrease of 4 points from September 17th, while 10% support McCain, which is statistically unchanged from 11% over the same time period. 11% support another candidate and 15% are undecided.
Sept. 6th | Sept. 17th | Oct. | Sept. 17th/Oct. Change | |
Giuliani | 21% | 24% | 29% | +5 |
Thompson | 27% | 23% | 19% | -4 |
Gov. Romney | 8% | 12% | 16% | +4 |
McCain | 9% | 11% | 10% | -1 |
Other | 10% | 11% | 11% | 0 |
Undecided | 25% | 19% | 15% | -4 |

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